• Modle CFS - Coupled Forecast System

Tendances saisonnires du CFS (Coupled Forecast System)
pour Juillet 2018

Septembre 2018 - Octobre 2018 - Novembre 2018 - Dcembre 2018 - Janvier 2019 - Fvrier 2019


Anomalie de la temprature 2m

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
30/06/2018 18Z-0.2 C-0.4 C+0.6 C+1.9 C+0.7 C-2 C+0.3 C
30/06/2018 12Z-1.6 C-0.7 C-1 C+1 C-0.8 C-2.9 C-0.6 C
30/06/2018 06Z-2.2 C-1.1 C-0.6 C+1.1 C-1.5 C-3.2 C-1.7 C
30/06/2018 00Z+0.2 C-0.2 C+1.3 C+2.4 C+0.6 C-1.7 C+0.6 C
29/06/2018 18Z+0.7 C-0.1 C+1.4 C+3 C+1.7 C-1.6 C+1.1 C
29/06/2018 12Z+-0 C-0.2 C+0.9 C+1.9 C+0.7 C-1.5 C+0.8 C
29/06/2018 06Z-0.6 C-0.4 C-0.1 C+2.1 C+0.2 C-2.6 C+0.3 C
29/06/2018 00Z-0.1 C+0 C+0.3 C+1.8 C+1.1 C-1.7 C+0.6 C
28/06/2018 18Z-0.7 C-0.6 C+0.3 C+1.5 C+0 C-2 C+0.5 C
28/06/2018 12Z-0.8 C-0.7 C-0.6 C+1.8 C+0.3 C-2.5 C+0.3 C
28/06/2018 06Z-0.7 C-0.3 C+1.2 C+2.1 C+0.2 C-1.8 C-0.2 C
28/06/2018 00Z+0.1 C+0.2 C+2.1 C+2.3 C+0.5 C-1 C+1.1 C
27/06/2018 18Z-1.2 C-1 C-1 C+1.4 C-0.3 C-3.1 C-0.2 C
27/06/2018 12Z-1.7 C-1 C-0.7 C+1.6 C-0.4 C-3.3 C-0.7 C
27/06/2018 06Z-2.5 C-1.7 C-1.3 C+0.3 C-1.4 C-3.3 C-0.8 C
27/06/2018 00Z-0.6 C+0.1 C+1.1 C+1.6 C+0.3 C-1.5 C+1 C
26/06/2018 18Z-1.4 C-1.3 C-0.6 C+1.2 C-0.5 C-3.2 C-0.4 C
26/06/2018 12Z-1.2 C-0.9 C-0.2 C+1.8 C+0 C-2.9 C-0.5 C
26/06/2018 06Z-1.5 C-0.9 C+-0 C+0.8 C-0.9 C-2.6 C-0.1 C
26/06/2018 00Z-1.2 C-0.2 C+0.2 C+1.4 C-0.4 C-2.3 C+0.2 C
25/06/2018 18Z-1.7 C-1.1 C-1 C+0.6 C-0.9 C-3 C-0.5 C
25/06/2018 12Z+0.2 C-0.2 C+1 C+1.9 C+1.2 C-1.2 C+1.8 C
25/06/2018 06Z-1.5 C-0.9 C-0.6 C+1 C-0.5 C-2.9 C-0.2 C
25/06/2018 00Z-0.3 C-0.1 C+1.6 C+2 C+0.3 C-1.9 C+0 C
24/06/2018 18Z-0.9 C-0.1 C+1 C+1.7 C-0.2 C-2 C+0.3 C
24/06/2018 12Z+0.4 C+0.9 C+2.1 C+2.6 C+1 C-1.4 C+1.2 C
24/06/2018 06Z+0.3 C+0.4 C+1.5 C+1.9 C+0.9 C-0.6 C+1.8 C
24/06/2018 00Z-1 C-0.3 C-0.2 C+1.3 C+0.2 C-2.6 C+0.6 C
23/06/2018 18Z-0.4 C+0.1 C+1.8 C+1.9 C+-0 C-1.1 C+0.8 C
23/06/2018 12Z-0.4 C-0.6 C+0.9 C+2.3 C+0.4 C-2.4 C+0.2 C
Moyenne-0.8 C-0.4 C+0.4 C+1.7 C+0.1 C-2.2 C+0.3 C

Anomalie de la temprature 850hPa

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
30/06/2018 18Z+0.7 C-0.6 C-0.1 C+-0 C+0.8 C-0.3 C+-0 C
30/06/2018 12Z-0.8 C-1.4 C-1.5 C-1.1 C-0.6 C-1.3 C-1 C
30/06/2018 06Z-1.2 C-1.7 C-1.2 C-1 C-1.2 C-1.8 C-2.1 C
30/06/2018 00Z+0.8 C-1.1 C+0.2 C+0.9 C+0.8 C+0 C+0.3 C
29/06/2018 18Z+1.8 C-0.9 C+0.9 C+1.4 C+2.4 C+0.4 C+0.9 C
29/06/2018 12Z+1.4 C-1.5 C+-0 C+1.1 C+1.8 C+0.3 C+0.8 C
29/06/2018 06Z+0.7 C-1.7 C-0.7 C+0.6 C+1 C-1.1 C+0 C
29/06/2018 00Z+1.1 C-0.7 C-0.2 C+0.3 C+1.5 C+0.2 C+0.4 C
28/06/2018 18Z+1.2 C-1.3 C+0.3 C+0.6 C+1.5 C-0.2 C+0.3 C
28/06/2018 12Z+0.4 C-1.1 C-0.8 C-0.3 C+0.9 C-0.5 C+0.2 C
28/06/2018 06Z+0.9 C-1 C+1 C+1.4 C+0.9 C-0.1 C-0.2 C
28/06/2018 00Z+2.3 C-0.2 C+2.3 C+2.5 C+2.1 C+1.1 C+1.3 C
27/06/2018 18Z-0.1 C-1.8 C-1.6 C-0.7 C+0.5 C-1.3 C-0.3 C
27/06/2018 12Z-0.3 C-2.2 C-1.5 C-0.4 C+0.5 C-1.6 C-1 C
27/06/2018 06Z-1.1 C-2.5 C-2 C-1.9 C-0.9 C-1.7 C-1 C
27/06/2018 00Z+0.8 C-0.9 C+1 C+0.2 C+0.9 C+0.2 C+0.6 C
26/06/2018 18Z-0.4 C-2 C-0.9 C-0.7 C-0.1 C-1.4 C-0.7 C
26/06/2018 12Z-0.2 C-1.6 C-0.7 C-0.3 C+0.5 C-1.4 C-0.6 C
26/06/2018 06Z-0.6 C-1.1 C-0.4 C-0.9 C-0.6 C-0.8 C-0.7 C
26/06/2018 00Z-0.2 C-0.8 C-0.2 C+0.1 C-0.1 C-0.6 C-0.4 C
25/06/2018 18Z-0.7 C-1.8 C-1.2 C-1.3 C-0.4 C-1.2 C-0.9 C
25/06/2018 12Z+1.7 C-0.6 C+0.6 C+0.5 C+1.9 C+0.8 C+1.8 C
25/06/2018 06Z-0.4 C-1.3 C-0.8 C-0.7 C+0 C-1.3 C-0.6 C
25/06/2018 00Z+1 C-1.1 C+1.6 C+2.1 C+0.9 C+0.1 C-0.2 C
24/06/2018 18Z+0.3 C-0.6 C+0.4 C+0.7 C+0.4 C-0.2 C-0.4 C
24/06/2018 12Z+2.1 C-0.5 C+1.5 C+2 C+2.2 C+0.9 C+1.1 C
24/06/2018 06Z+1.9 C+0.2 C+1.2 C+0.5 C+1.7 C+1.4 C+1.5 C
24/06/2018 00Z+0.1 C-1.8 C-1.2 C-0.5 C+0.8 C-1.1 C+0.1 C
23/06/2018 18Z+1.2 C-0.2 C+1.3 C+0.7 C+1.4 C+1 C+0.7 C
23/06/2018 12Z+0.2 C-1.9 C-0.1 C+0.6 C+0.3 C-0.9 C-0.3 C
Moyenne+0.5 C-1.2 C-0.1 C+0.2 C+0.7 C-0.4 C+-0 C

Anomalie de quantit de prcipitations

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
30/06/2018 18Z+78.3 %-8.2 %+36.4 %-36.3 %-7 %+187.1 %-26.7 %
30/06/2018 12Z+80.2 %+42.6 %+67.2 %+34 %+27.6 %+62 %-24.8 %
30/06/2018 06Z+67.4 %-46.3 %+9.2 %+38.2 %+21.9 %+64.7 %-2.3 %
30/06/2018 00Z+44.7 %-5.5 %+34.3 %-64.3 %-70.4 %+6.6 %-20.9 %
29/06/2018 18Z+120.3 %+197.3 %+212.2 %-29 %+23.3 %+118.5 %-49.9 %
29/06/2018 12Z+157.5 %-8.5 %+121.1 %+91.9 %+24.7 %+158.5 %-2.7 %
29/06/2018 06Z+72.8 %-35.1 %+56.8 %-13.9 %-15.8 %+122.7 %+9.9 %
29/06/2018 00Z+103.3 %-83.6 %+50.9 %+43.8 %+15.3 %+127.2 %-27.5 %
28/06/2018 18Z+122.1 %+18.2 %+108.5 %-3.1 %+65.9 %+91.8 %-24.3 %
28/06/2018 12Z+115.3 %+160.9 %+186.6 %+63.3 %+24.4 %+202.1 %+21.5 %
28/06/2018 06Z+87.5 %-64.1 %+85 %+1.3 %+13 %+17.8 %-8.4 %
28/06/2018 00Z+114 %-29 %+143.3 %+12.3 %-34.4 %+113.8 %+14.8 %
27/06/2018 18Z+56.9 %-27.2 %+95.6 %+51.9 %+56.7 %+189.5 %+22.3 %
27/06/2018 12Z+90 %-94.4 %+63.8 %+41.2 %+53 %-30.1 %-35 %
27/06/2018 06Z+83.7 %+178.2 %+114.4 %+71.1 %+23.6 %+82.6 %+3.6 %
27/06/2018 00Z+55.6 %+109.7 %+43.7 %-66.5 %+16.9 %+141.9 %-26 %
26/06/2018 18Z+160 %+33 %+137.8 %-14.7 %+10 %+162.6 %-5.2 %
26/06/2018 12Z+124.5 %-51.9 %+73.7 %-39.6 %+30.8 %-11.6 %-25.4 %
26/06/2018 06Z+32.1 %+189.7 %+26.4 %+1.1 %-11.9 %+106.8 %-14.9 %
26/06/2018 00Z+2.6 %-25.9 %-29.8 %-69.6 %-24.1 %+10.7 %-44.5 %
25/06/2018 18Z+71.5 %+19.7 %+63.3 %+79.7 %+38.2 %+232.1 %+53.6 %
25/06/2018 12Z+152.2 %+43.5 %+120.6 %-34.3 %+11.5 %+101.2 %+5.1 %
25/06/2018 06Z+59.2 %-78.8 %+39.7 %-34.6 %+23.3 %+89.6 %+35.7 %
25/06/2018 00Z-12.4 %-15.7 %+50.7 %-94.5 %-32.6 %+69.1 %-35.6 %
24/06/2018 18Z-25.5 %-80 %+11.8 %-19.5 %+8.3 %+6.6 %-50 %
24/06/2018 12Z-1.7 %+162.3 %+64.5 %-78.2 %-70.1 %+33 %-70.1 %
24/06/2018 06Z+71.1 %+11.2 %+35.5 %+71.6 %-28.5 %+14.7 %-23.8 %
24/06/2018 00Z+37 %+47.7 %+47.6 %-66.4 %-11.7 %+57.4 %-33.8 %
23/06/2018 18Z+37.9 %-12.8 %+4.1 %+103.1 %+7.7 %+53.7 %-40.5 %
23/06/2018 12Z-11.5 %+0 %+45.8 %-64 %-42.2 %+21.5 %-15.4 %
Moyenne+71.6 %+18.2 %+70.7 %-0.8 %+4.9 %+86.8 %-14.7 %

Anomalie de pression

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
30/06/2018 18Z+0.1 hPa+-0 hPa-0.6 hPa+0.5 hPa+0.5 hPa-0.1 hPa+0.2 hPa
30/06/2018 12Z-1.1 hPa-0.2 hPa-0.3 hPa-1.5 hPa-1.6 hPa-0.3 hPa-0.5 hPa
30/06/2018 06Z-0.1 hPa-0.3 hPa-0.1 hPa+0.1 hPa-0.4 hPa-0.1 hPa-0.2 hPa
30/06/2018 00Z+2.8 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.1 hPa+3.2 hPa+4 hPa+0.9 hPa+2.1 hPa
29/06/2018 18Z+0.9 hPa+1.3 hPa-0.9 hPa+0.9 hPa+1.9 hPa+0.8 hPa+1.6 hPa
29/06/2018 12Z-1.6 hPa+-0 hPa-2.7 hPa-2.3 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.1 hPa-0.7 hPa
29/06/2018 06Z+1.4 hPa-0.3 hPa+0.3 hPa+2.4 hPa+2.3 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.5 hPa
29/06/2018 00Z-1.3 hPa-0.5 hPa-1.9 hPa-1.8 hPa-1 hPa-0.9 hPa-0.7 hPa
28/06/2018 18Z-0.1 hPa+1.3 hPa-0.5 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.6 hPa
28/06/2018 12Z-1.9 hPa-1 hPa-1.8 hPa-1.9 hPa-2.1 hPa-1.5 hPa-1.5 hPa
28/06/2018 06Z+1 hPa+0.2 hPa-1.4 hPa+1 hPa+2 hPa-0.1 hPa+0.9 hPa
28/06/2018 00Z+1.6 hPa+1 hPa-0.9 hPa+1.5 hPa+3 hPa+0.6 hPa+1.3 hPa
27/06/2018 18Z-2.2 hPa-1.3 hPa-1.6 hPa-2.5 hPa-2.6 hPa-1.7 hPa-2 hPa
27/06/2018 12Z-1.8 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.7 hPa-1.9 hPa-1.8 hPa-1 hPa-1 hPa
27/06/2018 06Z-1.9 hPa-0.5 hPa-1.7 hPa-2.5 hPa-2 hPa-1.3 hPa-1.3 hPa
27/06/2018 00Z+1.5 hPa+1.3 hPa-0.2 hPa+1.2 hPa+1.8 hPa+1.1 hPa+1.5 hPa
26/06/2018 18Z-1.6 hPa+0.1 hPa-1.4 hPa-1.3 hPa-1.8 hPa-0.6 hPa-1 hPa
26/06/2018 12Z-1 hPa-1.7 hPa-2 hPa-1.1 hPa-1 hPa-1.5 hPa-1.4 hPa
26/06/2018 06Z-1.6 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.3 hPa-1.7 hPa-2.5 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.3 hPa
26/06/2018 00Z+2.1 hPa+0.5 hPa+1 hPa+1.6 hPa+1.7 hPa+1.4 hPa+1.7 hPa
25/06/2018 18Z-2.8 hPa-0.7 hPa-2 hPa-2.9 hPa-3.3 hPa-1.6 hPa-2.3 hPa
25/06/2018 12Z-1.1 hPa-0.7 hPa-2.1 hPa-0.7 hPa-0.2 hPa-1.2 hPa-0.9 hPa
25/06/2018 06Z-0.3 hPa-1 hPa-0.5 hPa-0.2 hPa-0.3 hPa-0.6 hPa-0.6 hPa
25/06/2018 00Z+0.9 hPa-0.4 hPa-1.9 hPa+0.9 hPa+2 hPa-0.5 hPa+0.5 hPa
24/06/2018 18Z+2.1 hPa+1.3 hPa+1.1 hPa+1.9 hPa+1.8 hPa+1.8 hPa+2 hPa
24/06/2018 12Z+2.6 hPa-0.9 hPa-1.5 hPa+2.7 hPa+4.5 hPa-0.4 hPa+1.4 hPa
24/06/2018 06Z+0.7 hPa+0.8 hPa-1.1 hPa+0.2 hPa+1.7 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.8 hPa
24/06/2018 00Z+0 hPa-1.2 hPa-1.4 hPa+0.3 hPa+0.6 hPa-0.9 hPa-0.2 hPa
23/06/2018 18Z-1.8 hPa+0.1 hPa-2.7 hPa-3.5 hPa-1.6 hPa-0.8 hPa-0.9 hPa
23/06/2018 12Z+3.8 hPa+2.1 hPa+1.4 hPa+4.4 hPa+4.4 hPa+2.4 hPa+3 hPa
Moyenne+-0 hPa-0.1 hPa-1 hPa-0.1 hPa+0.3 hPa-0.2 hPa+0.1 hPa

Cartes d'anomalie pour le dernier run de CFS

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Prcisions
Les calculs d'anomalies sont raliss partir des donnes de la priode 1982-2010. Le modle Coupled Forecast System (CFSv2) est donc un modle saisonnier qui est lanc une 4 tous les jours avec les donnes de ranalyse du NCEP. Les runs ont environ 1 jour de retard puisque le temps de calcul du modèle est très long.

 

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