• Modle CFS - Coupled Forecast System

Tendances saisonnires du CFS (Coupled Forecast System)
pour Juillet 2017

Aot 2017 - Septembre 2017 - Octobre 2017 - Novembre 2017 - Dcembre 2017 - Janvier 2018


Anomalie de la temprature 2m

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
30/06/2017 18Z-1.3 C-0.8 C+0.3 C+0.9 C-0.4 C-2.4 C+0.4 C
30/06/2017 12Z-2 C-0.3 C-0.6 C+0.7 C-1.3 C-3.4 C-0.9 C
30/06/2017 06Z-3 C-1 C-1.2 C+0.4 C-2 C-4.1 C-1.8 C
30/06/2017 00Z-2.7 C-1.9 C-1.2 C+0.6 C-1.6 C-4.7 C-2.2 C
29/06/2017 18Z-2.5 C-1.2 C-1.1 C+0.7 C-1.6 C-4 C-1.5 C
29/06/2017 12Z-1.6 C-0.2 C-0.2 C+0.3 C-0.7 C-2.6 C-0.2 C
29/06/2017 06Z-1.9 C-0.3 C-0.3 C+1.3 C-1.2 C-3 C-1.2 C
29/06/2017 00Z-1.9 C-0.8 C+0.1 C+0.8 C-1.1 C-3 C-0.6 C
28/06/2017 18Z-1.3 C-0.6 C+0.3 C+1.4 C-0.8 C-2.5 C-0.4 C
28/06/2017 12Z-1.4 C-0.4 C-0.2 C+0.7 C-0.6 C-3.2 C-0.6 C
28/06/2017 06Z-1.4 C-0.9 C+-0 C+0.9 C-0.6 C-2.8 C-0.4 C
28/06/2017 00Z-1.9 C-0.8 C-0.5 C+0.9 C-1 C-3 C-0.3 C
27/06/2017 18Z-2.1 C-1.5 C-1.4 C+0.6 C-1.3 C-3.9 C-1.3 C
27/06/2017 12Z-1.3 C-1 C-1 C+0.7 C-0.2 C-2.8 C+-0 C
27/06/2017 06Z-1.5 C-0.9 C-0.3 C+1.2 C-0.5 C-2.7 C-0.2 C
27/06/2017 00Z-2 C-2 C-1.7 C+0.1 C-0.9 C-4.2 C-0.5 C
26/06/2017 18Z-1.4 C-0.5 C-0.6 C+0.9 C-0.4 C-2.7 C+0.5 C
26/06/2017 12Z-2.1 C-1.2 C-1.1 C+0.5 C-0.9 C-4 C-1.3 C
26/06/2017 06Z-2.4 C-1.4 C-1.6 C+0.3 C-1.4 C-3.8 C-0.6 C
26/06/2017 00Z-0.7 C-1 C-0.1 C+1.5 C+0.1 C-2.9 C-0.2 C
25/06/2017 18Z-0.4 C-0.5 C+1.5 C+2.2 C+0.5 C-2.3 C-0.1 C
25/06/2017 12Z-2.5 C-1.4 C-1.6 C+0.9 C-1.5 C-4 C-1.1 C
25/06/2017 06Z-2.7 C-2.1 C-1.7 C+0.5 C-1.4 C-5 C-2.1 C
25/06/2017 00Z-2 C-0.4 C-1.1 C+0.3 C-1.1 C-2.6 C+0.2 C
24/06/2017 18Z-2 C-1.5 C-0.8 C+0.4 C-1.2 C-3.7 C-1.1 C
24/06/2017 12Z-2.6 C-2.9 C-2 C+0.8 C-1.1 C-5.4 C-2.3 C
24/06/2017 06Z-3.5 C-1.7 C-2.1 C-0.3 C-2.5 C-4.8 C-2.6 C
24/06/2017 00Z-2.8 C-1.6 C-1.8 C+-0 C-1.7 C-4 C-1.7 C
23/06/2017 18Z-2.4 C-1.8 C-2.2 C+0.2 C-1.2 C-3.7 C-0.7 C
23/06/2017 12Z-2.1 C-1.5 C-0.8 C+0.5 C-1.2 C-3.7 C-1.4 C
Moyenne-2 C-1.1 C-0.8 C+0.7 C-1 C-3.5 C-0.9 C

Anomalie de la temprature 850hPa

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
30/06/2017 18Z+0.3 C-1.5 C+0.4 C+0.2 C+0.3 C-0.5 C-0.1 C
30/06/2017 12Z-1.3 C-1.9 C-0.4 C-0.5 C-1 C-1.8 C-1.7 C
30/06/2017 06Z-2.4 C-2.4 C-1.7 C-2 C-2.3 C-2.5 C-2.7 C
30/06/2017 00Z-2.2 C-3.4 C-1.6 C-1 C-1.8 C-3.1 C-2.7 C
29/06/2017 18Z-1.6 C-2.7 C-1.7 C-0.8 C-1.4 C-2.6 C-2.2 C
29/06/2017 12Z-0.5 C-1.2 C-0.2 C-0.9 C-0.3 C-0.9 C-0.7 C
29/06/2017 06Z-1.1 C-1.5 C-0.2 C-0.2 C-1.3 C-1.4 C-2 C
29/06/2017 00Z-0.9 C-1.9 C+-0 C-0.5 C-1.1 C-1.3 C-1.4 C
28/06/2017 18Z-0.5 C-1.4 C+0.5 C-0.1 C-0.6 C-0.9 C-1.1 C
28/06/2017 12Z-0.6 C-1.6 C+0.2 C-0.4 C-0.6 C-1.5 C-1.4 C
28/06/2017 06Z-0.4 C-1.3 C+0.2 C-0.5 C-0.5 C-0.9 C-0.8 C
28/06/2017 00Z-0.8 C-1.3 C-0.1 C-0.3 C-1 C-1.2 C-1.2 C
27/06/2017 18Z-1.1 C-2.5 C-1.6 C-0.9 C-0.9 C-2.1 C-1.6 C
27/06/2017 12Z-0.2 C-1.5 C-1.1 C-1 C+0.3 C-0.9 C-0.3 C
27/06/2017 06Z-0.1 C-2 C-0.5 C-0.4 C-0.1 C-1 C-0.7 C
27/06/2017 00Z-0.8 C-3.4 C-2.2 C-1.5 C-0.2 C-2.5 C-1.1 C
26/06/2017 18Z-0.1 C-1.1 C-0.3 C-0.8 C+0.4 C-0.7 C+-0 C
26/06/2017 12Z-1.3 C-2.4 C-1.5 C-1 C-0.8 C-2.2 C-1.8 C
26/06/2017 06Z-1.4 C-2.7 C-1.9 C-1.9 C-1.2 C-1.9 C-1.2 C
26/06/2017 00Z+0.8 C-2.6 C-0.4 C+0.7 C+1.2 C-1.5 C-0.5 C
25/06/2017 18Z+0.7 C-1.5 C+2.1 C+1.6 C+0.8 C-0.2 C-0.4 C
25/06/2017 12Z-1.7 C-2.5 C-2 C-1.3 C-1.4 C-2.5 C-1.8 C
25/06/2017 06Z-2.2 C-3.8 C-2.9 C-2 C-1.5 C-3.6 C-2.6 C
25/06/2017 00Z-1.4 C-1.1 C-0.9 C-2.3 C-1.2 C-0.6 C-0.5 C
24/06/2017 18Z-0.8 C-2.1 C-1.1 C-1.5 C-0.5 C-1.6 C-1.5 C
24/06/2017 12Z-1.7 C-4.8 C-3.2 C-0.8 C-0.9 C-4.2 C-2.7 C
24/06/2017 06Z-2.7 C-2.9 C-2.5 C-2.1 C-2.3 C-3 C-3.3 C
24/06/2017 00Z-1.8 C-2.6 C-2.3 C-2.2 C-1.2 C-2.3 C-2.3 C
23/06/2017 18Z-1.4 C-2.1 C-2.3 C-2.1 C-0.9 C-1.8 C-1 C
23/06/2017 12Z-1.4 C-2.5 C-1.5 C-1.6 C-1.1 C-2.1 C-2 C
Moyenne-1 C-2.2 C-1 C-0.9 C-0.8 C-1.8 C-1.4 C

Anomalie de quantit de prcipitations

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
30/06/2017 18Z+42.1 %-61.8 %+38.8 %-24.2 %+11.8 %-20.8 %-41.9 %
30/06/2017 12Z+17.4 %-66.6 %-30.8 %-12.4 %+17.7 %+1 %-34.3 %
30/06/2017 06Z-28 %+30.2 %-15.1 %-39.8 %-6.6 %+92.7 %-24.9 %
30/06/2017 00Z+18.9 %-75.1 %+3.4 %-56.8 %-1.7 %+57 %-7.3 %
29/06/2017 18Z+35.1 %+16.3 %-20.5 %-48.2 %+40.9 %+62.9 %+5.4 %
29/06/2017 12Z+25.1 %+70.5 %-26.4 %-33.6 %+11.7 %+93.1 %+20.4 %
29/06/2017 06Z+8.3 %-49.5 %+16.1 %-46 %-3.4 %+27.3 %-13.3 %
29/06/2017 00Z+61.2 %-84.2 %+13.4 %-18 %+31.1 %+21.2 %-17.4 %
28/06/2017 18Z-1 %+15 %+8.8 %-54 %-13.8 %+81.7 %-32 %
28/06/2017 12Z+89.9 %-49.1 %+29.7 %-14.3 %+84.4 %-0.1 %-54.8 %
28/06/2017 06Z+15.5 %+20.1 %+56.9 %-74.4 %-20.8 %+51.7 %+8.6 %
28/06/2017 00Z+13.3 %-67.3 %-8.6 %+4.5 %-1.7 %+59.4 %-3.9 %
27/06/2017 18Z+51.8 %-53.4 %+34.1 %-19.7 %+38.8 %+103.4 %+27.3 %
27/06/2017 12Z+79.9 %+144 %+70.9 %+23.1 %+102.1 %+134.8 %+14 %
27/06/2017 06Z+97.8 %+105.3 %+139 %-61.3 %+27.4 %+95.7 %-33 %
27/06/2017 00Z+178.5 %+21.8 %+90.9 %+56.7 %+78.1 %+88 %-13.1 %
26/06/2017 18Z+33.3 %-23.9 %+42.3 %-43.4 %-1 %+30.8 %-41.9 %
26/06/2017 12Z+111 %-73.4 %+83.7 %-75.8 %+27.7 %+57.8 %+2.7 %
26/06/2017 06Z+84.8 %+60 %+283 %+82.3 %+57 %+99.5 %+6 %
26/06/2017 00Z+53.9 %-23.8 %-18.3 %-7.3 %-25 %+4.6 %-11 %
25/06/2017 18Z+1 %+132.7 %-24.1 %-30.6 %-28.1 %+20 %-32.7 %
25/06/2017 12Z+54.3 %+108.5 %+90.6 %-34.5 %-1.9 %+81.3 %+10.8 %
25/06/2017 06Z+38.8 %+106.1 %-33 %-59.3 %+25.4 %+56.6 %-1.6 %
25/06/2017 00Z+24.2 %+47 %+66.5 %-12.5 %+16.9 %+26 %-55.9 %
24/06/2017 18Z+137 %-54.1 %-16.6 %+51.6 %+128.4 %+68.9 %+13.5 %
24/06/2017 12Z+42.2 %+212.7 %+68.2 %-51.3 %+16.8 %+53.8 %+9.8 %
24/06/2017 06Z+50.1 %+4.2 %+49 %+83 %+55.3 %+39.9 %+19.4 %
24/06/2017 00Z+157.3 %-53.2 %+58.9 %+38.4 %+112.1 %+9.2 %+0.8 %
23/06/2017 18Z+147.9 %+170.1 %+96.8 %+97.4 %+28.5 %+130.4 %+44.5 %
23/06/2017 12Z+69.7 %-50.4 %-2.6 %-51.6 %+19.5 %-19.3 %-49.3 %
Moyenne+57 %+16 %+38.2 %-14.4 %+27.6 %+53.6 %-9.5 %

Anomalie de pression

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
30/06/2017 18Z+2.2 hPa+2.2 hPa+1.1 hPa+2.1 hPa+2.1 hPa+2.2 hPa+2.2 hPa
30/06/2017 12Z+1.5 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.3 hPa+1.5 hPa+1.3 hPa+1 hPa+1.1 hPa
30/06/2017 06Z+1.7 hPa+1.8 hPa+1.8 hPa+1.4 hPa+1 hPa+2 hPa+1.8 hPa
30/06/2017 00Z+1.9 hPa+1.4 hPa+1.8 hPa+2.4 hPa+1.4 hPa+1.8 hPa+1.3 hPa
29/06/2017 18Z+2.3 hPa+1.5 hPa+1.9 hPa+2.7 hPa+1.9 hPa+2 hPa+1.8 hPa
29/06/2017 12Z+1.4 hPa+1.6 hPa+1.4 hPa+1.5 hPa+0.8 hPa+1.8 hPa+1.6 hPa
29/06/2017 06Z+0.8 hPa+0.7 hPa+0.7 hPa+1.1 hPa+0.3 hPa+1 hPa+0.7 hPa
29/06/2017 00Z+1.6 hPa+2.2 hPa+1.2 hPa+2.1 hPa+1 hPa+2.1 hPa+1.7 hPa
28/06/2017 18Z+2.9 hPa+2.6 hPa+1.4 hPa+3.4 hPa+2.8 hPa+2.6 hPa+2.5 hPa
28/06/2017 12Z+1.6 hPa+0.6 hPa-0.3 hPa+2.3 hPa+2.1 hPa+0.9 hPa+1.3 hPa
28/06/2017 06Z+1.8 hPa+1.3 hPa+0.6 hPa+2.3 hPa+1.9 hPa+1.5 hPa+1.3 hPa
28/06/2017 00Z+1.1 hPa+1.7 hPa+1.2 hPa+0.8 hPa+0.4 hPa+1.7 hPa+1.4 hPa
27/06/2017 18Z-0.7 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.3 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.5 hPa+0.3 hPa-0.5 hPa
27/06/2017 12Z-1.8 hPa+-0 hPa-1 hPa-2.3 hPa-2.4 hPa-0.6 hPa-1.1 hPa
27/06/2017 06Z+1.3 hPa+1.1 hPa+0 hPa+1.5 hPa+1.7 hPa+0.7 hPa+1.2 hPa
27/06/2017 00Z-0.7 hPa-0.1 hPa-0.5 hPa-0.6 hPa-0.7 hPa-0.2 hPa-0.5 hPa
26/06/2017 18Z+1.1 hPa+1.2 hPa+0.3 hPa+0.3 hPa+1 hPa+1.2 hPa+1.3 hPa
26/06/2017 12Z+1.6 hPa+1.6 hPa+1.4 hPa+2.3 hPa+0.9 hPa+1.9 hPa+1.5 hPa
26/06/2017 06Z-0.5 hPa+0.8 hPa-0.6 hPa-1.6 hPa-0.9 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.2 hPa
26/06/2017 00Z+0.9 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.2 hPa+1.5 hPa+1.4 hPa+0.3 hPa+0.4 hPa
25/06/2017 18Z+2.7 hPa+2.6 hPa+0.6 hPa+1.8 hPa+3.4 hPa+2.4 hPa+3.1 hPa
25/06/2017 12Z+0.7 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.7 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.3 hPa+0.5 hPa+0.4 hPa
25/06/2017 06Z+0.1 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.5 hPa+0.6 hPa-0.6 hPa+0.3 hPa-0.3 hPa
25/06/2017 00Z+0.6 hPa+1.3 hPa+0.7 hPa+-0 hPa-0.1 hPa+1.1 hPa+0.8 hPa
24/06/2017 18Z-0.7 hPa+1.1 hPa+0.2 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.6 hPa+0.7 hPa-0.3 hPa
24/06/2017 12Z+1.1 hPa+0.5 hPa+1.7 hPa+2.1 hPa+0.2 hPa+1 hPa+0.6 hPa
24/06/2017 06Z+0 hPa+1.3 hPa+0.9 hPa-0.8 hPa-1.5 hPa+1.2 hPa+0.7 hPa
24/06/2017 00Z-1.1 hPa+0.9 hPa+0.4 hPa-1.5 hPa-2.2 hPa+0.5 hPa-0.2 hPa
23/06/2017 18Z-1.7 hPa-0.3 hPa-1.2 hPa-3.4 hPa-2.1 hPa-0.8 hPa-1.1 hPa
23/06/2017 12Z+1.4 hPa+1.8 hPa+0.9 hPa+0.9 hPa+1.1 hPa+1.8 hPa+1.9 hPa
Moyenne+0.8 hPa+1.1 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.8 hPa+0.4 hPa+1.1 hPa+0.9 hPa

Cartes d'anomalie pour le dernier run de CFS

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Prcisions
Les calculs d'anomalies sont raliss partir des donnes de la priode 1982-2010. Le modle Coupled Forecast System (CFSv2) est donc un modle saisonnier qui est lanc une 4 tous les jours avec les donnes de ranalyse du NCEP. Les runs ont environ 1 jour de retard puisque le temps de calcul du modèle est très long.

 

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