• Modle CFS - Coupled Forecast System

Tendances saisonnires du CFS (Coupled Forecast System)
pour Juin 2016

Novembre 2020 - Dcembre 2020 - Janvier 2021 - Fvrier 2021 - Mars 2021 - Avril 2021


Anomalie de la temprature 2m

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
31/05/2016 18Z-0.6 C+0.1 C+0.3 C+1.3 C+0.2 C-1.2 C+1.1 C
31/05/2016 12Z+0.5 C+0.2 C+0.9 C+1.5 C+1.5 C-0.4 C+2.2 C
31/05/2016 06Z-0.8 C-0.6 C-0.7 C+1.1 C+0.4 C-2.1 C+0.8 C
31/05/2016 00Z+0.4 C+0.3 C+2 C+1.7 C+1.1 C+0 C+1.9 C
30/05/2016 18Z+0.4 C-0.1 C-0.2 C+1.9 C+1.3 C-1.1 C+1.7 C
30/05/2016 12Z+0.8 C-0.4 C-0.4 C+1.5 C+1.9 C-0.9 C+2.7 C
30/05/2016 06Z+0.4 C+0.3 C+0.8 C+1.3 C+1 C-0.3 C+2.4 C
30/05/2016 00Z+0.4 C+0.4 C+0.5 C+1.7 C+1.3 C-0.5 C+2.1 C
29/05/2016 18Z+0.1 C+0 C+0 C+1.2 C+1.2 C-0.6 C+2.1 C
29/05/2016 12Z+0.4 C+0.3 C+0.7 C+1.6 C+0.9 C-0.3 C+2.2 C
29/05/2016 06Z+0.6 C+0.9 C+1.1 C+2.4 C+1.5 C-0.5 C+1.7 C
29/05/2016 00Z+1.1 C+0.1 C+1.9 C+2.6 C+1.9 C-0.4 C+1.9 C
28/05/2016 18Z+0.1 C+0.1 C+1.2 C+1.2 C+0.8 C-0.3 C+1.8 C
28/05/2016 12Z-1 C-0.2 C-0.4 C+1.2 C+0.1 C-2.2 C+0.2 C
28/05/2016 06Z+2.2 C+2 C+3.4 C+2.5 C+2.8 C+1.6 C+3.8 C
28/05/2016 00Z-1.1 C-0.3 C+0.7 C+1.6 C-0.1 C-2 C+-0 C
27/05/2016 18Z+2 C+1.3 C+3.7 C+2.8 C+2.6 C+1.5 C+3.3 C
27/05/2016 12Z-1 C-1 C-1 C+1.1 C+0.3 C-2.5 C+0.5 C
27/05/2016 06Z-1.4 C-0.9 C-0.3 C+1.1 C-0.4 C-2.5 C-0.4 C
27/05/2016 00Z-0.3 C+0.1 C+0.9 C+1.4 C+0.4 C-0.6 C+1.3 C
26/05/2016 18Z-0.2 C-0.4 C+0.3 C+1.3 C+0.5 C-1.3 C+1 C
26/05/2016 12Z-0.9 C+-0 C+0.1 C+1.1 C-0.3 C-1.2 C+0.4 C
26/05/2016 06Z+0.7 C+0.2 C+1.6 C+2.6 C+1.5 C-0.1 C+1.7 C
26/05/2016 00Z+0.8 C+0 C+1.8 C+2.7 C+1.6 C-0.8 C+1.4 C
25/05/2016 18Z+0.3 C-0.2 C+0.7 C+1.9 C+1.5 C-1.1 C+1.8 C
25/05/2016 12Z-0.8 C+0.1 C-0.1 C+1.6 C+0.2 C-1.6 C+0.6 C
25/05/2016 06Z-0.6 C+0.4 C+0.1 C+1.3 C+0.4 C-1.1 C+0.9 C
25/05/2016 00Z+0.3 C+0.3 C+1.8 C+2.9 C+1.1 C-1.2 C+0.1 C
24/05/2016 18Z-0.2 C+0 C+0.8 C+1.5 C+0.6 C-1.5 C+0.4 C
24/05/2016 12Z-2.3 C-0.5 C-0.4 C+0.2 C-1.6 C-2.5 C-0.8 C
Moyenne+0 C+0.1 C+0.7 C+1.7 C+0.9 C-0.9 C+1.4 C

Anomalie de la temprature 850hPa

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
31/05/2016 18Z+0.5 C+0.3 C+0.3 C+0.2 C+0.9 C+0.3 C+0.7 C
31/05/2016 12Z+1.6 C+0.4 C+1.2 C+0.5 C+2.1 C+1.3 C+1.8 C
31/05/2016 06Z+0.3 C-1.4 C-0.7 C+0.3 C+1 C-0.7 C+0.3 C
31/05/2016 00Z+2 C+1 C+2.4 C+1.9 C+1.9 C+1.7 C+1.4 C
30/05/2016 18Z+1.9 C-0.6 C-0.1 C+1.1 C+2.6 C+0.5 C+1.4 C
30/05/2016 12Z+2.2 C-0.8 C-0.2 C+0.9 C+3.3 C+0.7 C+2.7 C
30/05/2016 06Z+1.3 C+0.9 C+0.9 C+0.3 C+1.8 C+1.2 C+1.9 C
30/05/2016 00Z+1.5 C+0.5 C+0.8 C+0.6 C+2.1 C+1.2 C+2 C
29/05/2016 18Z+1.1 C+0.7 C-0.1 C-0.5 C+1.8 C+1.1 C+2.1 C
29/05/2016 12Z+1.4 C+0.8 C+1.1 C+0.6 C+1.8 C+1.4 C+1.9 C
29/05/2016 06Z+1.8 C+0.3 C+0.9 C+1.9 C+2.5 C+1.1 C+1.3 C
29/05/2016 00Z+2.5 C+0.5 C+2.2 C+2.4 C+2.8 C+1.2 C+1.8 C
28/05/2016 18Z+1.9 C+0.8 C+1.8 C+1.1 C+1.9 C+1.4 C+1.5 C
28/05/2016 12Z-0.2 C-0.5 C-0.9 C-0.5 C+0.6 C-0.9 C-0.3 C
28/05/2016 06Z+3.2 C+2.5 C+3.2 C+1.6 C+3.4 C+3.4 C+3.6 C
28/05/2016 00Z-0.3 C-0.6 C+0.5 C+0.4 C-0.1 C-0.9 C-0.7 C
27/05/2016 18Z+3.8 C+1.4 C+3.3 C+2.9 C+3.8 C+2.9 C+3.4 C
27/05/2016 12Z+0.1 C-1.7 C-1.4 C-0.7 C+1 C-0.9 C+0 C
27/05/2016 06Z-0.5 C-1.3 C-0.5 C-0.8 C-0.4 C-1.1 C-0.9 C
27/05/2016 00Z+0.8 C+0.8 C+1.3 C+0.2 C+0.7 C+1.2 C+0.5 C
26/05/2016 18Z+0.4 C-0.1 C-0.1 C-0.5 C+0.6 C+0.3 C+0.8 C
26/05/2016 12Z+0.2 C+0.1 C-0.1 C-0.3 C+0.2 C+0.3 C+0 C
26/05/2016 06Z+1.7 C+1 C+1.9 C+1.3 C+1.9 C+1.5 C+1.3 C
26/05/2016 00Z+2.1 C-0.5 C+1.2 C+1.8 C+2.3 C+0.8 C+1.1 C
25/05/2016 18Z+1.2 C-0.8 C-0.3 C+0.1 C+1.9 C+0.3 C+1.3 C
25/05/2016 12Z-0.2 C-0.2 C-0.8 C+-0 C+0.1 C-0.4 C-0.2 C
25/05/2016 06Z-0.1 C+0.1 C-0.5 C-0.9 C+0.2 C+0.1 C+0.4 C
25/05/2016 00Z+1.4 C+0.2 C+1.6 C+2.4 C+1.4 C+0.3 C-0.3 C
24/05/2016 18Z+0 C+-0 C+0.3 C-0.2 C+0.2 C-0.1 C-0.3 C
24/05/2016 12Z-1.5 C-0.9 C-1.6 C-1.3 C-1.1 C-1.2 C-1.6 C
Moyenne+1.1 C+0.1 C+0.6 C+0.6 C+1.4 C+0.6 C+1 C

Anomalie de quantit de prcipitations

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
31/05/2016 18Z+54.6 %-49.8 %+69 %+34.5 %+23.9 %+0.4 %-9.2 %
31/05/2016 12Z+1.6 %-40.4 %-7.5 %-37.3 %+2.6 %+8.6 %-28.9 %
31/05/2016 06Z+63.5 %+75.6 %+29.3 %-28.5 %+60.5 %+30.5 %-8.3 %
31/05/2016 00Z+80.7 %-76.5 %+22.1 %+28.7 %+29.2 %+23.7 %+13.5 %
30/05/2016 18Z+73.5 %+85.2 %+111.9 %+76.4 %+44.2 %+23 %-17.8 %
30/05/2016 12Z+68.6 %+43.8 %+225.4 %+67.7 %+40.9 %+2.4 %-6.6 %
30/05/2016 06Z+27.5 %-35.7 %+13 %-42.7 %-14.6 %-35 %-40.9 %
30/05/2016 00Z+119.7 %-42.3 %+87.7 %+28.3 %+39.5 %+50 %+23.7 %
29/05/2016 18Z+76.1 %+52.4 %+48.5 %+112.5 %+36.1 %+69 %+39.1 %
29/05/2016 12Z+65.4 %-90.2 %+35.5 %+35.5 %+27.4 %+2.7 %+11.9 %
29/05/2016 06Z+7.8 %-67.7 %+26.6 %+8 %+13.8 %-5.3 %+14.9 %
29/05/2016 00Z+3.9 %-91.4 %+17.7 %-13.5 %-11.7 %+5.8 %-0.6 %
28/05/2016 18Z+16.1 %-61 %-2.3 %+35.5 %+37.8 %-28.5 %+0.5 %
28/05/2016 12Z+38.8 %-79.2 %+42.1 %+102.1 %+26.6 %+24.5 %+3 %
28/05/2016 06Z+9.2 %-91.8 %-35.5 %-59.8 %-8.3 %-39.6 %-44.8 %
28/05/2016 00Z+66.6 %-88.1 %-33.9 %-57.6 %+32.1 %-41.2 %-51.4 %
27/05/2016 18Z+22 %-70 %-20.6 %-79.3 %-9.6 %-8.5 %-65 %
27/05/2016 12Z+164 %-26.8 %+110.3 %+37.4 %+120.7 %+55.6 %-6.5 %
27/05/2016 06Z+53.1 %-48.1 %+65.4 %+35 %+18.3 %+26.8 %-1.8 %
27/05/2016 00Z+97.5 %-53.1 %+59.4 %+67.7 %+101.6 %-8.7 %-9.5 %
26/05/2016 18Z+44.4 %-61.8 %+53.9 %+12 %+92.7 %+15.1 %-4.5 %
26/05/2016 12Z+37.4 %-62.6 %+43.1 %+74.4 %+11 %+29.6 %-30 %
26/05/2016 06Z+58.7 %-84.7 %-12.3 %+35.5 %+6.9 %-24 %+9.8 %
26/05/2016 00Z+58.4 %-68.2 %+46 %+11.6 %-9.1 %-35.5 %-32.3 %
25/05/2016 18Z+70.8 %-81.1 %+22.7 %+23 %+45.1 %-26.9 %-8.2 %
25/05/2016 12Z-27.1 %-70.4 %-22.3 %-21.8 %-0.5 %+58.1 %+1.3 %
25/05/2016 06Z+8 %-76.6 %-12.8 %-19.7 %+1.5 %-24 %-2.1 %
25/05/2016 00Z+30.7 %-49.6 %-0.7 %+79.3 %-27.4 %-14.4 %-13.3 %
24/05/2016 18Z+20.9 %-89 %-41.8 %+1.7 %-1.1 %-33.4 %-16.5 %
24/05/2016 12Z+15.5 %-77.1 %-22.3 %-9.6 %-2.1 %-35.2 %-51.8 %
Moyenne+47.6 %-49.2 %+30.6 %+17.9 %+24.3 %+2.2 %-11.1 %

Anomalie de pression

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
31/05/2016 18Z-1.8 hPa-0.9 hPa-1.7 hPa-3.2 hPa-2.5 hPa-1 hPa-1.5 hPa
31/05/2016 12Z+0.7 hPa+1.2 hPa+-0 hPa-0.1 hPa+0.3 hPa+0.9 hPa+0.6 hPa
31/05/2016 06Z-0.9 hPa-0.1 hPa-0.1 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.7 hPa-0.3 hPa-1 hPa
31/05/2016 00Z-1 hPa+0.6 hPa-1.5 hPa-1.7 hPa-1.6 hPa+0 hPa-0.6 hPa
30/05/2016 18Z-3.8 hPa-2.4 hPa-3.6 hPa-4.3 hPa-3.7 hPa-3 hPa-3.3 hPa
30/05/2016 12Z-4 hPa-1.4 hPa-3.5 hPa-4.7 hPa-4.3 hPa-2.4 hPa-3.1 hPa
30/05/2016 06Z+0.2 hPa+0.1 hPa-0.6 hPa+0.3 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.1 hPa
30/05/2016 00Z-2.5 hPa-0.9 hPa-1.9 hPa-3.1 hPa-3.1 hPa-1.5 hPa-2.2 hPa
29/05/2016 18Z-3 hPa-1.9 hPa-2.9 hPa-4.3 hPa-3.4 hPa-2.4 hPa-2.8 hPa
29/05/2016 12Z-1.8 hPa-0.3 hPa-1.2 hPa-2.2 hPa-2.5 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.5 hPa
29/05/2016 06Z+0.6 hPa+-0 hPa-0.7 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.7 hPa+-0 hPa+0.1 hPa
29/05/2016 00Z+-0 hPa+1.5 hPa+0.3 hPa-0.3 hPa-0.6 hPa+1.2 hPa+0.4 hPa
28/05/2016 18Z-0.4 hPa+1.3 hPa+0.3 hPa-1 hPa-1.2 hPa+1.1 hPa+0.4 hPa
28/05/2016 12Z-1.9 hPa-0.8 hPa-1 hPa-2.7 hPa-2.9 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.5 hPa
28/05/2016 06Z-0.3 hPa+0.6 hPa-1.6 hPa-1.6 hPa-0.1 hPa+0.3 hPa+0.3 hPa
28/05/2016 00Z+1.6 hPa+0.3 hPa+0.8 hPa+1.9 hPa+1.4 hPa+1 hPa+1 hPa
27/05/2016 18Z+1.8 hPa+1.1 hPa-0.7 hPa+1.3 hPa+2.4 hPa+1.1 hPa+1.9 hPa
27/05/2016 12Z-4.1 hPa-1.4 hPa-3 hPa-4.7 hPa-4.5 hPa-2.5 hPa-3.2 hPa
27/05/2016 06Z-2.1 hPa-0.2 hPa-1.3 hPa-3.1 hPa-2.7 hPa-0.6 hPa-1.3 hPa
27/05/2016 00Z-0.9 hPa+1.4 hPa-0.7 hPa-2.5 hPa-1.7 hPa+0.8 hPa+0.4 hPa
26/05/2016 18Z-0.1 hPa+0.8 hPa-0.4 hPa-1 hPa-0.4 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.4 hPa
26/05/2016 12Z-1.1 hPa-0.8 hPa-2.2 hPa-1.8 hPa-0.6 hPa-1.2 hPa-0.6 hPa
26/05/2016 06Z-0.2 hPa+0.6 hPa-0.9 hPa-1.6 hPa-0.2 hPa+0.3 hPa-0.1 hPa
26/05/2016 00Z+-0 hPa+0.5 hPa-1.6 hPa-1.4 hPa+0.7 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.5 hPa
25/05/2016 18Z+0.1 hPa+1.3 hPa+-0 hPa-0.9 hPa-0.1 hPa+0.9 hPa+0.5 hPa
25/05/2016 12Z+0.3 hPa+0.6 hPa+1.1 hPa+0.8 hPa-0.5 hPa+0.8 hPa+0.2 hPa
25/05/2016 06Z+0.4 hPa+0.8 hPa+0.9 hPa-0.4 hPa-0.3 hPa+1 hPa+0.8 hPa
25/05/2016 00Z+1.8 hPa+1.3 hPa+0.8 hPa+0.7 hPa+1.8 hPa+1.8 hPa+2.1 hPa
24/05/2016 18Z+0.7 hPa+0.3 hPa+0.2 hPa-0.3 hPa+0.5 hPa+0.8 hPa+0.8 hPa
24/05/2016 12Z+0.9 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.9 hPa+1.6 hPa-0.2 hPa+0.7 hPa+0.7 hPa
Moyenne-0.7 hPa+0.1 hPa-0.9 hPa-1.3 hPa-1 hPa-0.1 hPa-0.4 hPa

Cartes d'anomalie pour le dernier run de CFS

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Prcisions
Les calculs d'anomalies sont raliss partir des donnes de la priode 1982-2010. Le modle Coupled Forecast System (CFSv2) est donc un modle saisonnier qui est lanc une 4 tous les jours avec les donnes de ranalyse du NCEP. Les runs ont environ 1 jour de retard puisque le temps de calcul du modèle est très long.

 

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