• Modle CFS - Coupled Forecast System

Tendances saisonnires du CFS (Coupled Forecast System)
pour Juin 2017

Juin 2017 - Juillet 2017 - Aot 2017 - Septembre 2017 - Octobre 2017 - Novembre 2017


Anomalie de la temprature 2m

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
24/05/2017 00Z-0.3 C-0.4 C+0.1 C+1.8 C+1 C-1.9 C+0.5 C
23/05/2017 18Z+0.5 C+1 C+1.2 C+2.3 C+1.2 C-0.7 C+1.3 C
23/05/2017 12Z-0.5 C-0.7 C-1.1 C+0.6 C+0.6 C-2 C+1.3 C
23/05/2017 06Z+1.4 C+1.3 C+4 C+2.8 C+1.6 C+0.5 C+1.9 C
23/05/2017 00Z-1 C+0.1 C+0 C+0.8 C-0.5 C-1.6 C+0.1 C
22/05/2017 18Z+0.6 C+0.7 C+1.8 C+2.5 C+1.2 C-0.4 C+1.4 C
22/05/2017 12Z-0.9 C-0.8 C+0 C+1.6 C-0.1 C-2.3 C-0.1 C
22/05/2017 06Z+0.8 C+0.6 C+0.5 C+2.6 C+1.9 C-0.9 C+2.2 C
22/05/2017 00Z+1.1 C+0.8 C+2.2 C+2.4 C+1.8 C-0.1 C+2.2 C
21/05/2017 18Z+0.6 C+1.2 C+2.2 C+2.1 C+1.3 C+0 C+2.1 C
21/05/2017 12Z+0.2 C+0.2 C-0.2 C+2.2 C+1.3 C-1.2 C+2.1 C
21/05/2017 06Z+1.2 C+1.7 C+2.2 C+3.1 C+2.1 C+0 C+2.2 C
21/05/2017 00Z+0.3 C+0.6 C+1.1 C+1.7 C+1.2 C-0.9 C+2 C
20/05/2017 18Z+1.1 C+0.9 C+2.6 C+2.9 C+2.1 C-0.5 C+1.5 C
20/05/2017 12Z+0.7 C+1.7 C+2.2 C+2.2 C+0.8 C+0.7 C+1.7 C
20/05/2017 06Z-2.2 C-0.9 C-1.7 C+0.3 C-1.3 C-3.6 C-1.2 C
20/05/2017 00Z+1.3 C+1 C+2 C+2.4 C+1.7 C+0.5 C+2.1 C
19/05/2017 18Z+0.3 C+0.3 C+1 C+2.1 C+1.5 C-1.1 C+1.6 C
19/05/2017 12Z+0.2 C+0.8 C+0.7 C+1.7 C+0.8 C-0.5 C+2.6 C
19/05/2017 06Z-0.7 C+0 C-0.1 C+1 C+0.4 C-1.4 C+1.3 C
19/05/2017 00Z-1.4 C-0.4 C-0.4 C+1.1 C-0.5 C-2.6 C-0.7 C
18/05/2017 18Z-1.1 C-0.1 C-0.2 C+1.2 C-0.1 C-2 C+0.5 C
18/05/2017 12Z+0.2 C-0.5 C+0.1 C+2.4 C+0.9 C-1.8 C+0.4 C
18/05/2017 06Z-1.3 C-0.4 C-1.1 C+0.5 C-0.4 C-2.1 C+0.4 C
18/05/2017 00Z-1 C-0.3 C-0.1 C+0.9 C+-0 C-1.8 C+1 C
17/05/2017 18Z-0.5 C+0.3 C+0.4 C+1.3 C+0.3 C-1.7 C+1.1 C
17/05/2017 12Z-1.4 C+0.1 C-0.4 C+0.6 C-0.3 C-2.1 C+0.5 C
17/05/2017 06Z+0.2 C+1 C+1.1 C+1.7 C+1.1 C-0.5 C+2.5 C
17/05/2017 00Z-0.3 C+0.3 C+1.6 C+2 C+0.4 C-1.6 C+0.3 C
16/05/2017 18Z-0.8 C-0.1 C+0 C+1.1 C+0.1 C-1.6 C+0.5 C
Moyenne-0.1 C+0.3 C+0.7 C+1.7 C+0.7 C-1.2 C+1.2 C

Anomalie de la temprature 850hPa

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
24/05/2017 00Z+0.4 C-1.6 C-0.9 C-0.1 C+0.9 C-0.5 C+0.2 C
23/05/2017 18Z+1.6 C-0.1 C+0.8 C+1.6 C+1.9 C+0.6 C+0.9 C
23/05/2017 12Z+0.6 C-1.5 C-1.4 C-1 C+1.3 C-0.5 C+0.9 C
23/05/2017 06Z+2.9 C+0.7 C+3.7 C+3.5 C+2.2 C+2.3 C+1.8 C
23/05/2017 00Z-0.3 C-0.2 C-0.4 C-0.7 C-0.3 C-0.3 C-0.6 C
22/05/2017 18Z+1.5 C+0.1 C+1.2 C+0.9 C+1.3 C+1.3 C+1 C
22/05/2017 12Z-0.6 C-1.8 C-1 C-0.8 C-0.4 C-1 C-1 C
22/05/2017 06Z+1.7 C-0.3 C-0.3 C+0.5 C+2.2 C+0.5 C+1.9 C
22/05/2017 00Z+2 C+0.4 C+1.8 C+1.4 C+2 C+1.5 C+2 C
21/05/2017 18Z+1.7 C+0.9 C+1.7 C+1 C+1.8 C+1.6 C+1.6 C
21/05/2017 12Z+1 C-0.5 C-0.9 C+-0 C+1.7 C+0.3 C+1.8 C
21/05/2017 06Z+1.5 C+0.9 C+1.7 C+1.7 C+1.9 C+1.5 C+1.6 C
21/05/2017 00Z+0.6 C+0.3 C+0.4 C-0.7 C+1 C+0.8 C+1.5 C
20/05/2017 18Z+1.6 C+0.4 C+2.2 C+1.3 C+1.9 C+0.8 C+1 C
20/05/2017 12Z+2.1 C+2.2 C+2 C+1.5 C+1.7 C+2.4 C+1.7 C
20/05/2017 06Z-1.2 C-2.3 C-2.5 C-1.7 C-0.9 C-2.1 C-1.5 C
20/05/2017 00Z+1.9 C+1.3 C+2 C+1 C+1.7 C+2.2 C+1.5 C
19/05/2017 18Z+1.1 C+0 C+0.7 C+0.8 C+1.6 C+0.4 C+1 C
19/05/2017 12Z+1.1 C+0.9 C+0.1 C-0.3 C+1 C+1.2 C+2.1 C
19/05/2017 06Z-0.1 C-0.4 C-0.6 C-1.3 C+0.3 C+0.2 C+0.6 C
19/05/2017 00Z-1 C-1.5 C-1 C-0.4 C-0.9 C-1.6 C-1.4 C
18/05/2017 18Z-0.7 C-0.8 C-1.1 C-1.3 C-0.2 C-0.6 C-0.1 C
18/05/2017 12Z+1.1 C-1.5 C-0.7 C+0.6 C+1.4 C-0.6 C+0 C
18/05/2017 06Z-0.9 C-0.2 C-1.8 C-1.9 C-0.7 C-0.8 C-0.4 C
18/05/2017 00Z-0.1 C-0.9 C-0.7 C-1 C+0.2 C-0.4 C+0.4 C
17/05/2017 18Z+0.1 C-0.4 C-0.4 C-0.9 C+0.2 C-0.2 C+0.6 C
17/05/2017 12Z-0.9 C-0.7 C-1.6 C-1.1 C-0.4 C-0.9 C-0.3 C
17/05/2017 06Z+1 C+0.6 C+0.6 C-0.2 C+1.1 C+1.2 C+2.1 C
17/05/2017 00Z+0.3 C-1 C+0.5 C+1.3 C+0.6 C-0.4 C-0.4 C
16/05/2017 18Z+0.1 C+-0 C-0.5 C-0.1 C+0.5 C-0.1 C-0.2 C
Moyenne+0.7 C-0.2 C+0.1 C+0.1 C+0.9 C+0.3 C+0.7 C

Anomalie de quantit de prcipitations

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
24/05/2017 00Z+11.7 %+15.9 %+67.6 %+66.4 %-10.8 %+44.3 %-21.2 %
23/05/2017 18Z+4.9 %-66.2 %+26.8 %-88.7 %-63.1 %+38.1 %-24.6 %
23/05/2017 12Z+81 %+-0 %+171.3 %+25.8 %+46.8 %+53.2 %-4.7 %
23/05/2017 06Z-15.6 %+6 %+35.7 %-93.1 %-74.6 %-18.5 %-21.2 %
23/05/2017 00Z+6.9 %-18.6 %+92.4 %+91.9 %-24.3 %+2.4 %-24.7 %
22/05/2017 18Z+89.4 %-3.6 %+86.3 %-14.3 %-7.4 %+27.1 %-20.4 %
22/05/2017 12Z+40.2 %+18.2 %+34.9 %-23.6 %+17 %+11.1 %-32.2 %
22/05/2017 06Z+68.6 %-68.4 %+120 %-60.3 %-5.8 %+82.7 %+42.2 %
22/05/2017 00Z+34.1 %-91.6 %+0 %+54 %-29.3 %-5.4 %-15.3 %
21/05/2017 18Z+26.8 %-31.3 %+60.9 %-18.5 %+14.1 %-5.6 %-20.9 %
21/05/2017 12Z+151.6 %+178.3 %+174.5 %+3.1 %+87.1 %+41 %+31.2 %
21/05/2017 06Z+12.2 %-58 %-3.5 %+20.1 %-45.5 %-9.8 %-47.4 %
21/05/2017 00Z-16 %-41.4 %-17.5 %-45.9 %-15.7 %-11.9 %-8 %
20/05/2017 18Z+17.2 %+44.5 %-24.3 %-36.4 %+16 %-38.6 %-42.9 %
20/05/2017 12Z+57.9 %-87.6 %+33.6 %+19.7 %-25.1 %+27.8 %-14.3 %
20/05/2017 06Z+58.2 %-77.7 %+88.8 %+4.1 %-15.3 %+31.5 %+98.5 %
20/05/2017 00Z+80 %-87.2 %+59.5 %+25.5 %+2.5 %+6.4 %-31.4 %
19/05/2017 18Z+25.2 %-20.6 %+40.2 %+35.8 %-3 %-24.8 %-16.8 %
19/05/2017 12Z+49.1 %+166.8 %+101.1 %+39.5 %+17.4 %+44.2 %+53.3 %
19/05/2017 06Z+45.3 %-34.8 %+104.2 %-56.1 %-5.9 %-23.8 %-31.7 %
19/05/2017 00Z+8.3 %-1.9 %+17.2 %+5 %-27.9 %+53.7 %+39 %
18/05/2017 18Z+53.6 %-10.9 %+34.6 %-9.1 %+50.4 %+3.5 %-24.2 %
18/05/2017 12Z+66 %-2.9 %+74.9 %+9.1 %-24.3 %+94.9 %+13.6 %
18/05/2017 06Z+27.3 %+11.4 %+10.9 %+10.8 %+1 %-0.6 %+5.2 %
18/05/2017 00Z+24.6 %-42.6 %+32.5 %+61.5 %+0.4 %-2.3 %-1.9 %
17/05/2017 18Z+108.5 %-29.2 %+34.3 %-42.5 %+50.3 %+31.4 %+20.2 %
17/05/2017 12Z-19.7 %+12.3 %-34.9 %-51.5 %-3.5 %-8.5 %+1.5 %
17/05/2017 06Z+59.9 %-4.3 %+97.1 %-55.5 %-4.5 %+8.1 %-23.1 %
17/05/2017 00Z-2.6 %-42.9 %-25.2 %-66.1 %-57 %-32.1 %-64.6 %
16/05/2017 18Z+42.8 %-36.5 %+68.9 %+37 %+20.8 %+44.6 %+16 %
Moyenne+39.9 %-13.5 %+52.1 %-5.1 %-4 %+15.5 %-5.7 %

Anomalie de pression

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
24/05/2017 00Z-1.3 hPa-1.2 hPa-2.1 hPa-1.8 hPa-0.6 hPa-1.7 hPa-1 hPa
23/05/2017 18Z+2.9 hPa-0.6 hPa-1 hPa+3.6 hPa+4.6 hPa-0.1 hPa+1.7 hPa
23/05/2017 12Z-4.2 hPa-1.5 hPa-2.8 hPa-4.5 hPa-5 hPa-2.4 hPa-3.2 hPa
23/05/2017 06Z+2.8 hPa+1.9 hPa-0.9 hPa+2.3 hPa+4.4 hPa+1.5 hPa+2.7 hPa
23/05/2017 00Z-1.2 hPa-0.8 hPa-2 hPa-1.6 hPa-1.1 hPa-0.9 hPa-0.6 hPa
22/05/2017 18Z+0.3 hPa+0.8 hPa-1.3 hPa-0.3 hPa+1 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.7 hPa
22/05/2017 12Z-0.1 hPa+1 hPa+-0 hPa-0.5 hPa-0.7 hPa+0.5 hPa+0.3 hPa
22/05/2017 06Z-0.4 hPa-0.7 hPa-0.5 hPa+0.4 hPa-0.1 hPa-0.8 hPa-1.1 hPa
22/05/2017 00Z+1.3 hPa+2 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.3 hPa+1.3 hPa+1.8 hPa+1.9 hPa
21/05/2017 18Z+0.2 hPa+0.8 hPa-0.5 hPa-1 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.8 hPa+1 hPa
21/05/2017 12Z-3 hPa-1.6 hPa-2.3 hPa-3.6 hPa-3.2 hPa-2.1 hPa-2.6 hPa
21/05/2017 06Z+3.1 hPa+1.9 hPa+1.4 hPa+2.7 hPa+3 hPa+2.4 hPa+2.9 hPa
21/05/2017 00Z+2.3 hPa+1.6 hPa+1.1 hPa+1.4 hPa+2 hPa+1.9 hPa+2.1 hPa
20/05/2017 18Z+2.8 hPa+1.6 hPa+1 hPa+1.8 hPa+2.9 hPa+2.3 hPa+2.6 hPa
20/05/2017 12Z-1.7 hPa-1.4 hPa-3.6 hPa-2.6 hPa-0.4 hPa-1.8 hPa-1.2 hPa
20/05/2017 06Z-2 hPa-1.6 hPa-1.9 hPa-1.2 hPa-1.9 hPa-2 hPa-2.6 hPa
20/05/2017 00Z+1.2 hPa+2.7 hPa+0.1 hPa-0.1 hPa+1.7 hPa+2 hPa+2.4 hPa
19/05/2017 18Z-0.7 hPa+0.2 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.8 hPa-1.4 hPa+0.4 hPa+0 hPa
19/05/2017 12Z-1.1 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.3 hPa-1.9 hPa-1.1 hPa-0.5 hPa-0.9 hPa
19/05/2017 06Z+0.7 hPa+0.9 hPa+0.3 hPa-0.3 hPa+0.2 hPa+1 hPa+1.1 hPa
19/05/2017 00Z+2.6 hPa+1.2 hPa+1.4 hPa+2.7 hPa+2.6 hPa+1.5 hPa+1.7 hPa
18/05/2017 18Z-0.3 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.5 hPa-0.8 hPa-1.3 hPa+0.5 hPa+-0 hPa
18/05/2017 12Z+1.1 hPa+0.8 hPa+1.1 hPa+1.9 hPa+1.6 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.7 hPa
18/05/2017 06Z-1 hPa-0.4 hPa-0.2 hPa-1.5 hPa-1.9 hPa-0.2 hPa-0.8 hPa
18/05/2017 00Z-0.8 hPa-0.1 hPa-0.9 hPa-2.3 hPa-1.2 hPa-0.4 hPa-0.5 hPa
17/05/2017 18Z+0.2 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.3 hPa-0.1 hPa+0.4 hPa-0.1 hPa
17/05/2017 12Z+1.5 hPa+0.4 hPa+1.4 hPa+1.5 hPa+0.8 hPa+1.3 hPa+1.2 hPa
17/05/2017 06Z+1.5 hPa+0.7 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.9 hPa+1.8 hPa+0.8 hPa+1.2 hPa
17/05/2017 00Z+2.3 hPa+0.1 hPa-0.9 hPa+2.3 hPa+3.2 hPa+0.5 hPa+1.6 hPa
16/05/2017 18Z-1.3 hPa-0.3 hPa-0.9 hPa-2.7 hPa-1.9 hPa-0.3 hPa-0.4 hPa
Moyenne+0.3 hPa+0.3 hPa-0.5 hPa-0.2 hPa+0.3 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.4 hPa

Cartes d'anomalie pour le dernier run de CFS

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Prcisions
Les calculs d'anomalies sont raliss partir des donnes de la priode 1982-2010. Le modle Coupled Forecast System (CFSv2) est donc un modle saisonnier qui est lanc une 4 tous les jours avec les donnes de ranalyse du NCEP. Les runs ont environ 1 jour de retard puisque le temps de calcul du modèle est très long.

 

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