• Modle CFS - Coupled Forecast System

Tendances saisonnires du CFS (Coupled Forecast System)
pour Juin 2018

Juin 2018 - Juillet 2018 - Aot 2018 - Septembre 2018 - Octobre 2018 - Novembre 2018


Anomalie de la temprature 2m

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
27/05/2018 06Z+0.6 C+0.7 C+1.4 C+2.1 C+1.3 C-0.4 C+2 C
27/05/2018 00Z+0.5 C+1.3 C+1.6 C+2.2 C+1 C-0.5 C+1 C
26/05/2018 18Z+2.4 C+1.7 C+2.2 C+3.1 C+3.2 C+0.8 C+3.8 C
26/05/2018 12Z+0.6 C+0.5 C+1.2 C+2.4 C+1.6 C-0.6 C+2 C
26/05/2018 06Z+0.6 C+1.3 C+1.9 C+2.6 C+1.2 C-0.2 C+1.8 C
26/05/2018 00Z-2.2 C-0.6 C-0.7 C+0.6 C-1.5 C-2.7 C-0.8 C
25/05/2018 18Z+0.1 C+0.9 C+1.5 C+1.8 C+0.6 C-0.5 C+1.6 C
25/05/2018 12Z+0.7 C+1.6 C+1.9 C+2.1 C+1.5 C+0.1 C+1.8 C
25/05/2018 06Z-2.1 C-0.8 C-1.6 C+0.5 C-1.1 C-3.5 C-0.1 C
25/05/2018 00Z+0.6 C+0 C+0.5 C+2.2 C+1.5 C-1 C+2 C
24/05/2018 18Z+1 C+0.7 C+0.2 C+2.5 C+1.8 C-0.6 C+2.4 C
24/05/2018 12Z+1 C+0.8 C+0.9 C+2.6 C+1.9 C-0.5 C+2.3 C
24/05/2018 06Z+1.1 C+0.8 C+2.1 C+2.4 C+1.4 C-0.1 C+2 C
24/05/2018 00Z+0.5 C+0.4 C+0.8 C+2.4 C+1.7 C-1.2 C+1.1 C
23/05/2018 18Z-0.4 C+0.3 C+0.3 C+1.7 C+0.4 C-1.6 C+1 C
23/05/2018 12Z-2 C-0.3 C-1.4 C+0.1 C-1.1 C-2.6 C-0.2 C
23/05/2018 06Z+0.4 C+1.2 C+1.4 C+1.7 C+0.8 C-0.2 C+2.3 C
23/05/2018 00Z+1.1 C+1.8 C+1.9 C+2 C+1.5 C+0.3 C+2.5 C
22/05/2018 18Z+0.7 C+1.4 C+1.9 C+2.3 C+1.3 C+0.3 C+2.2 C
22/05/2018 12Z+0.9 C+1.1 C+1.3 C+2.3 C+1.7 C-0.7 C+1.9 C
22/05/2018 06Z+1.5 C+1.7 C+2.7 C+2.7 C+1.9 C+0.6 C+2.3 C
22/05/2018 00Z+0.8 C+1.3 C+1.8 C+1.6 C+1.7 C+-0 C+2.2 C
21/05/2018 18Z+0.7 C+1.4 C+1.6 C+2.7 C+1.4 C-0.5 C+1.4 C
21/05/2018 12Z+3.5 C+2.4 C+4.8 C+3.8 C+4 C+2.5 C+4.6 C
21/05/2018 06Z-0.8 C+-0 C+0.2 C+1.5 C-0.2 C-2.4 C-0.6 C
21/05/2018 00Z-1.2 C-1 C-0.9 C+1 C-0.4 C-2.5 C+-0 C
20/05/2018 18Z+2 C+2 C+2.6 C+2.5 C+2.5 C+1.3 C+3.9 C
20/05/2018 12Z-2.5 C-2.3 C-2.1 C+0.2 C-1.4 C-4.7 C-1.9 C
20/05/2018 06Z+1 C+1.7 C+1.6 C+2.2 C+1.8 C-0.1 C+2.1 C
20/05/2018 00Z+0 C+0.8 C+0.5 C+1 C+0.9 C-0.6 C+2.5 C
Moyenne+0.4 C+0.8 C+1.1 C+2 C+1.1 C-0.7 C+1.6 C

Anomalie de la temprature 850hPa

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
27/05/2018 06Z+1.2 C+0.5 C+0.7 C+0.5 C+1.4 C+1.1 C+1.5 C
27/05/2018 00Z+1.2 C+0.3 C+0.8 C+1 C+1.2 C+0.9 C+0.5 C
26/05/2018 18Z+3.4 C+0.9 C+1.6 C+1.8 C+3.9 C+2.2 C+3.5 C
26/05/2018 12Z+1.5 C+0.4 C+0.8 C+0.6 C+2.2 C+0.9 C+1.6 C
26/05/2018 06Z+1.4 C+0.8 C+1.2 C+1 C+1.3 C+1.2 C+1.2 C
26/05/2018 00Z-1.3 C-1.4 C-1.3 C-1 C-1 C-1.4 C-1.4 C
25/05/2018 18Z+0.8 C+0.8 C+0.8 C+0.5 C+0.6 C+1.3 C+0.9 C
25/05/2018 12Z+1.4 C+1 C+1.2 C+0.5 C+1.5 C+1.3 C+1.2 C
25/05/2018 06Z-1.1 C-1.8 C-2.6 C-2 C-0.4 C-2.1 C-0.5 C
25/05/2018 00Z+1.8 C-0.8 C+-0 C+1.1 C+2.6 C+0.6 C+2 C
24/05/2018 18Z+1.9 C+-0 C+-0 C+0.7 C+2.5 C+0.9 C+1.9 C
24/05/2018 12Z+1.7 C+0.1 C+-0 C+0.9 C+2.1 C+1 C+2 C
24/05/2018 06Z+2 C+0.5 C+1.5 C+2.1 C+2.3 C+1.3 C+1.5 C
24/05/2018 00Z+1.8 C-0.7 C+0.3 C+1.7 C+2.4 C+0.1 C+1 C
23/05/2018 18Z+0.2 C-0.8 C-0.8 C+0.1 C+0.5 C-0.5 C+0.3 C
23/05/2018 12Z-1.5 C-1.6 C-1.7 C-2 C-1.4 C-1.3 C-0.8 C
23/05/2018 06Z+1.7 C+0.7 C+1.1 C+1.1 C+1.7 C+1.5 C+1.6 C
23/05/2018 00Z+2.6 C+0.7 C+1.6 C+2.4 C+2.9 C+1.6 C+2.2 C
22/05/2018 18Z+2.1 C+1.4 C+2 C+0.8 C+2.2 C+1.9 C+2.2 C
22/05/2018 12Z+1.7 C+0.3 C+0.7 C+1.3 C+2 C+0.8 C+1.6 C
22/05/2018 06Z+2.5 C+1.3 C+2.2 C+1.6 C+2.4 C+2.3 C+2 C
22/05/2018 00Z+1.5 C+1.2 C+1.3 C+1 C+1.7 C+1.6 C+1.6 C
21/05/2018 18Z+1.4 C+0.1 C+0.7 C+0.9 C+1.7 C+0.7 C+0.9 C
21/05/2018 12Z+4.4 C+2 C+3.7 C+3.4 C+4.5 C+4 C+4.1 C
21/05/2018 06Z-0.1 C-1.7 C-0.1 C+1.1 C+0 C-1 C-1.4 C
21/05/2018 00Z-0.4 C-1.8 C-1.5 C-0.6 C-0.2 C-1.1 C-0.5 C
20/05/2018 18Z+3.2 C+1.8 C+2.4 C+1.3 C+3.3 C+3.2 C+3.7 C
20/05/2018 12Z-2.1 C-3.6 C-3.2 C-2.2 C-1.1 C-3.5 C-2.4 C
20/05/2018 06Z+2.1 C+0.6 C+0.8 C+2.1 C+2.1 C+1.1 C+1.8 C
20/05/2018 00Z+0.9 C+0.6 C+0.1 C-0.5 C+1.2 C+1.1 C+2 C
Moyenne+1.3 C+0.1 C+0.5 C+0.7 C+1.5 C+0.7 C+1.2 C

Anomalie de quantit de prcipitations

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
27/05/2018 06Z+96.7 %+16.4 %+52.3 %+30 %+40.3 %+37.6 %+25 %
27/05/2018 00Z+11.8 %-82.3 %+64.4 %+8.7 %-20.9 %+42.7 %-24.9 %
26/05/2018 18Z+111.4 %-66.7 %+73.6 %-69.9 %+21.9 %+15.2 %-7.5 %
26/05/2018 12Z+73.9 %+29.3 %+10.1 %-21.8 %+25.6 %-43.7 %+6.6 %
26/05/2018 06Z+18.7 %-74.1 %-8.3 %-3.9 %+22.7 %-8.8 %-40.5 %
26/05/2018 00Z+18.5 %+5.6 %+63 %-15.4 %-0.7 %-12.4 %+11.4 %
25/05/2018 18Z-11.4 %-56.8 %-22.5 %-30.9 %-33.6 %+38.5 %-30.1 %
25/05/2018 12Z-32.1 %-35.7 %-9.6 %-10.4 %-40.5 %-8 %-11.6 %
25/05/2018 06Z+71.4 %-19 %+2.5 %-18.8 %+60.6 %+14.9 %+86.3 %
25/05/2018 00Z+29.7 %+50.8 %+114.1 %-44.5 %-19.8 %+71.6 %+5 %
24/05/2018 18Z+210.9 %+51.1 %+229.9 %+126.1 %+127.4 %+52.5 %+10.1 %
24/05/2018 12Z+0.5 %-16.4 %-9.5 %-52.8 %-68.7 %+50.4 %+34.7 %
24/05/2018 06Z-5.6 %-69.7 %+56.2 %-1.6 %-44.7 %-20.1 %-9.1 %
24/05/2018 00Z+70 %+34.8 %+134.4 %-52.6 %-19.5 %+53.8 %+28.4 %
23/05/2018 18Z+36.4 %-19.6 %+29.3 %-73.5 %-10.9 %-6 %-18.6 %
23/05/2018 12Z+17.6 %+4.2 %+54.4 %-44.4 %-45.1 %+46.5 %+3.7 %
23/05/2018 06Z+99.7 %-69.1 %+153.6 %+26.3 %+104.5 %-17.9 %-41.3 %
23/05/2018 00Z-23.8 %-65.2 %+82.9 %-83.9 %-52.6 %-0.3 %+1.1 %
22/05/2018 18Z+25.2 %-29 %+16.9 %-8.3 %-10.8 %+11.3 %+29.6 %
22/05/2018 12Z+11.9 %-5.5 %+64.8 %-49.5 %-38 %+56.3 %+2.5 %
22/05/2018 06Z+85 %-10.1 %+66.6 %+11.8 %-0.8 %+1.3 %-31.8 %
22/05/2018 00Z+26.3 %+165.9 %-1.3 %+53.5 %+2.5 %+55.2 %-10 %
21/05/2018 18Z+4.9 %-64.3 %-14.6 %-29.7 %+12.1 %+19.9 %-42.6 %
21/05/2018 12Z-23.1 %-87.7 %-2.2 %-74.4 %-56.7 %-26.9 %-35 %
21/05/2018 06Z-13.7 %+17.9 %+69 %+86.2 %-29.4 %-33.9 %-37.4 %
21/05/2018 00Z+135.4 %+111.1 %+210.1 %+64.2 %+66 %+96.4 %+39.1 %
20/05/2018 18Z+56.9 %-58.1 %+52.1 %-9.1 %-22.5 %+12.6 %-43 %
20/05/2018 12Z+11.4 %+77.4 %+69.5 %-15.1 %-2.2 %+60.2 %+6.4 %
20/05/2018 06Z+46.7 %+2.9 %+38.8 %-40.4 %-49.5 %-8.9 %-37.1 %
20/05/2018 00Z+12.3 %-44.7 %-20.4 %+72.7 %-27.3 %-10.2 %-17 %
Moyenne+39.1 %-10.2 %+54 %-9 %-3.7 %+18 %-4.9 %

Anomalie de pression

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
27/05/2018 06Z-1.7 hPa-0.8 hPa-3 hPa-2.7 hPa-1.7 hPa-1.2 hPa-1.4 hPa
27/05/2018 00Z-1 hPa-0.5 hPa-2 hPa-1.5 hPa-0.6 hPa-1 hPa-0.8 hPa
26/05/2018 18Z+0.1 hPa+0.3 hPa-0.7 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.3 hPa+0.1 hPa
26/05/2018 12Z-0.1 hPa-0.8 hPa-1.2 hPa-0.2 hPa+-0 hPa-0.6 hPa-0.5 hPa
26/05/2018 06Z-0.8 hPa-0.8 hPa-1.2 hPa-1.8 hPa-1 hPa-0.6 hPa-0.6 hPa
26/05/2018 00Z-0.8 hPa-2.3 hPa-2.7 hPa-0.6 hPa-0.7 hPa-2.1 hPa-1.7 hPa
25/05/2018 18Z+0.3 hPa+1 hPa+0.4 hPa-0.6 hPa-0.5 hPa+1 hPa+0.7 hPa
25/05/2018 12Z+1.5 hPa+1.2 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.6 hPa+1.6 hPa+1.5 hPa+1.7 hPa
25/05/2018 06Z-0.6 hPa-1.1 hPa+0.4 hPa-0.2 hPa-1.1 hPa-0.6 hPa-1.6 hPa
25/05/2018 00Z-3.3 hPa-3.1 hPa-3.8 hPa-2.6 hPa-3 hPa-3.6 hPa-4.1 hPa
24/05/2018 18Z-3.1 hPa-1.4 hPa-3.3 hPa-3.2 hPa-2.6 hPa-2.3 hPa-2.8 hPa
24/05/2018 12Z+0.3 hPa-1.4 hPa-0.6 hPa+0.9 hPa+1 hPa-1.1 hPa-0.8 hPa
24/05/2018 06Z-0.1 hPa-0.6 hPa-2.2 hPa-0.3 hPa+0.3 hPa-0.7 hPa-0.6 hPa
24/05/2018 00Z-1.3 hPa-2.4 hPa-2.9 hPa-1 hPa-0.5 hPa-2.4 hPa-1.9 hPa
23/05/2018 18Z+0.9 hPa-1.1 hPa-0.3 hPa+1.9 hPa+1.4 hPa-0.4 hPa+0.2 hPa
23/05/2018 12Z-0.4 hPa-2 hPa-1.5 hPa+0.7 hPa+0 hPa-2 hPa-1.6 hPa
23/05/2018 06Z-2.1 hPa+0 hPa-1.4 hPa-3.1 hPa-2.9 hPa-0.4 hPa-0.9 hPa
23/05/2018 00Z+1.9 hPa-0.2 hPa-1.2 hPa+1.9 hPa+2.9 hPa+0.1 hPa+1 hPa
22/05/2018 18Z-0.8 hPa-1.5 hPa-2.6 hPa-1.2 hPa-0.4 hPa-1.5 hPa-1.3 hPa
22/05/2018 12Z-0.1 hPa-1.1 hPa-1.6 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.6 hPa-1.1 hPa-0.6 hPa
22/05/2018 06Z-0.1 hPa+0.4 hPa-2.1 hPa-1.1 hPa+1 hPa-0.2 hPa+0.5 hPa
22/05/2018 00Z+1.1 hPa+1.6 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.8 hPa+1 hPa+1.5 hPa+1.6 hPa
21/05/2018 18Z+0.4 hPa+0.7 hPa+0.8 hPa+0.7 hPa+-0 hPa+0.9 hPa+0.7 hPa
21/05/2018 12Z+1.4 hPa+2.2 hPa-0.8 hPa+0.6 hPa+1.7 hPa+1.7 hPa+2 hPa
21/05/2018 06Z+0.4 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.5 hPa-0.5 hPa+0.7 hPa-0.4 hPa+0.6 hPa
21/05/2018 00Z-2.1 hPa-1.3 hPa-1.9 hPa-2.7 hPa-1.7 hPa-1.9 hPa-2 hPa
20/05/2018 18Z+0.5 hPa+1.8 hPa-1.4 hPa-0.2 hPa+1.3 hPa+1 hPa+1.4 hPa
20/05/2018 12Z-2.8 hPa-2.9 hPa-2.4 hPa-2.6 hPa-3.4 hPa-2.9 hPa-3.4 hPa
20/05/2018 06Z+1.2 hPa-1.2 hPa-1.1 hPa+1.8 hPa+2.3 hPa-0.5 hPa+0.4 hPa
20/05/2018 00Z-1.6 hPa-1.7 hPa-1.9 hPa-2.9 hPa-1.6 hPa-1.6 hPa-1.5 hPa
Moyenne-0.4 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.4 hPa-0.6 hPa-0.2 hPa-0.7 hPa-0.6 hPa

Cartes d'anomalie pour le dernier run de CFS

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Prcisions
Les calculs d'anomalies sont raliss partir des donnes de la priode 1982-2010. Le modle Coupled Forecast System (CFSv2) est donc un modle saisonnier qui est lanc une 4 tous les jours avec les donnes de ranalyse du NCEP. Les runs ont environ 1 jour de retard puisque le temps de calcul du modèle est très long.

 

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