• Modle CFS - Coupled Forecast System

Tendances saisonnires du CFS (Coupled Forecast System)
pour Mars 2015

Novembre 2020 - Dcembre 2020 - Janvier 2021 - Fvrier 2021 - Mars 2021 - Avril 2021


Anomalie de la temprature 2m

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
28/02/2015 18Z+1.5 C+0.6 C+2.1 C+1.2 C+1.6 C+0.9 C+2 C
28/02/2015 12Z-0.3 C-0.4 C-0.1 C-0.4 C-0.1 C-1.1 C+0.6 C
28/02/2015 06Z-0.3 C-0.6 C+0.8 C+0.2 C+-0 C-0.9 C+0.1 C
28/02/2015 00Z+1 C+0.3 C+1.3 C+0.9 C+1.4 C-0.2 C+0.9 C
27/02/2015 18Z+-0 C-0.3 C+0 C+0.6 C+0.3 C-1.2 C+0.4 C
27/02/2015 12Z+-0 C-0.4 C+0.9 C-0.1 C+-0 C-0.7 C+0.7 C
27/02/2015 06Z+0 C-1 C-0.5 C+0.5 C+0.6 C-2.5 C-0.6 C
27/02/2015 00Z+1.6 C+0.2 C+2.1 C+1.3 C+2.3 C+0.7 C+2.5 C
26/02/2015 18Z-2.1 C-2 C-2 C-1.1 C-1.3 C-3.6 C-1.9 C
26/02/2015 12Z-3.5 C-3.4 C-3.6 C-1.5 C-2.7 C-6.2 C-4.1 C
26/02/2015 06Z+0.2 C-0.6 C+0.3 C+0.1 C+0.9 C-1 C+1 C
26/02/2015 00Z-0.7 C-0.7 C+0.1 C-0.5 C-0.4 C-1.5 C-0.3 C
25/02/2015 18Z+1.1 C+0.4 C+2.5 C+1.1 C+1.5 C+0.2 C+1.1 C
25/02/2015 12Z-2.2 C-1.6 C-1.4 C-0.8 C-1.6 C-3.6 C-2.2 C
25/02/2015 06Z+0.2 C-0.8 C+0.4 C+0.2 C+0.7 C-1.6 C+0 C
25/02/2015 00Z+1.6 C+1.5 C+3.2 C+1.4 C+1.8 C+1.9 C+2.8 C
24/02/2015 18Z+1.3 C+0.2 C+2.7 C+1.3 C+1.6 C+0.7 C+2.1 C
24/02/2015 12Z-0.5 C-0.3 C+0.3 C-0.1 C+0 C-1.6 C-0.1 C
24/02/2015 06Z+1.1 C+-0 C+1.3 C+1.4 C+1.6 C-0.4 C+1.5 C
24/02/2015 00Z+1.5 C+1.5 C+3 C+1.4 C+1.4 C+1.5 C+2.5 C
23/02/2015 18Z-1.1 C-0.8 C+0.5 C-0.4 C-0.9 C-2.1 C-1.5 C
23/02/2015 12Z+0.9 C+0.2 C+1.9 C+1.2 C+0.8 C-0.4 C+0.4 C
23/02/2015 06Z-0.9 C-1.4 C-0.7 C+-0 C-0.3 C-2.7 C-0.5 C
23/02/2015 00Z-0.8 C-0.8 C+0.4 C-0.4 C-0.3 C-1.7 C-0.1 C
22/02/2015 18Z-0.5 C-0.9 C-0.5 C+0.9 C+0 C-2.7 C-0.4 C
22/02/2015 12Z+2.4 C+1.4 C+1.8 C+1.3 C+2.7 C+1.5 C+2.6 C
22/02/2015 06Z-0.8 C-1.1 C+1.2 C+0.3 C-0.9 C-1.6 C-1.1 C
22/02/2015 00Z-1.2 C-0.9 C-0.5 C-1 C-1.1 C-1.5 C-0.2 C
21/02/2015 18Z+1.8 C+1.1 C+2.4 C+1.1 C+2.3 C+1.4 C+3.3 C
21/02/2015 12Z-0.8 C-0.8 C-0.4 C+0.1 C-0.4 C-2.4 C-0.9 C
Moyenne+0 C-0.4 C+0.7 C+0.3 C+0.4 C-1.1 C+0.4 C

Anomalie de la temprature 850hPa

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
28/02/2015 18Z+1.1 C-0.1 C+1.4 C+0.4 C+1.2 C+1.3 C+1.2 C
28/02/2015 12Z-1.8 C-1 C-1.4 C-2.5 C-2 C-0.6 C-0.3 C
28/02/2015 06Z+0.8 C-2.3 C-0.4 C+0.5 C+1.3 C+0.1 C+0.9 C
28/02/2015 00Z+1.6 C-0.7 C+0.5 C+1.7 C+1.7 C+0.4 C+0.4 C
27/02/2015 18Z+0.1 C-1.8 C-1.6 C+0.1 C+0.4 C-0.8 C-0.1 C
27/02/2015 12Z-0.3 C-1.5 C-0.2 C-0.6 C-0.4 C-0.3 C-0.2 C
27/02/2015 06Z-1.4 C-2.5 C-2.2 C-1.2 C-0.8 C-2.2 C-1.1 C
27/02/2015 00Z+2.5 C-0.9 C+1.5 C+2.2 C+3 C+1.3 C+2.3 C
26/02/2015 18Z-3 C-4 C-3.2 C-3.3 C-2.5 C-3.2 C-3.3 C
26/02/2015 12Z-5.4 C-6.6 C-6.1 C-4 C-4.7 C-6.4 C-6.1 C
26/02/2015 06Z-0.6 C-2.8 C-0.9 C-0.9 C+0.1 C-0.9 C+0.5 C
26/02/2015 00Z-1.6 C-1.5 C+0 C-0.9 C-1.8 C-1.3 C-1.4 C
25/02/2015 18Z+7.6 C+7.4 C+9.4 C+9 C+8.2 C+4.5 C+5.1 C
25/02/2015 12Z-3.6 C-2.9 C-2.5 C-2.7 C-3.6 C-3.5 C-3.5 C
25/02/2015 06Z-0.8 C-2.2 C-0.3 C-0.6 C-0.5 C-1.3 C-0.7 C
25/02/2015 00Z+2.8 C+1.9 C+3.8 C+2.6 C+2 C+3.5 C+2.9 C
24/02/2015 18Z+3 C-0.7 C+2.4 C+3 C+3.2 C+2 C+2.5 C
24/02/2015 12Z+0.3 C-0.8 C+0.7 C+0.4 C+-0 C-0.2 C-0.1 C
24/02/2015 06Z+1.2 C+0.3 C+1.2 C+1.4 C+1.2 C+1 C+1.2 C
24/02/2015 00Z+2.6 C+2.4 C+4 C+2.5 C+1.8 C+3.1 C+2 C
23/02/2015 18Z-1.2 C-0.9 C+-0 C-1 C-1.9 C-1 C-2.3 C
23/02/2015 12Z+0.6 C+-0 C+2.3 C+1.8 C+0.1 C+0 C-0.7 C
23/02/2015 06Z-0.9 C-2.3 C-1.6 C-0.9 C-0.7 C-1.8 C-1.1 C
23/02/2015 00Z-0.9 C-0.9 C+0.1 C-1 C-1.5 C-0.5 C-1.2 C
22/02/2015 18Z-1 C-1.9 C-1.3 C-0.1 C-0.8 C-2.1 C-1.7 C
22/02/2015 12Z+2.2 C+2 C+2.1 C+1 C+2.1 C+2.6 C+2.1 C
22/02/2015 06Z-1.1 C-2 C+0.8 C+0.5 C-1.4 C-1.1 C-2.4 C
22/02/2015 00Z-1.3 C-0.8 C-1.1 C-2.2 C-1.7 C-0.5 C-1 C
21/02/2015 18Z+2.5 C+1 C+2.3 C+1 C+2.8 C+2.6 C+3.6 C
21/02/2015 12Z-1.9 C-2.4 C-1.7 C-2.6 C-1.8 C-2 C-1.8 C
Moyenne+0.1 C-1 C+0.3 C+0.1 C+0.1 C-0.2 C-0.1 C

Anomalie de quantit de prcipitations

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
28/02/2015 18Z-15.4 %-81.7 %-8.8 %-57.6 %-26.9 %-14.8 %-25.7 %
28/02/2015 12Z+38.4 %+67.8 %+185 %+7.8 %+11.6 %+161.5 %+45 %
28/02/2015 06Z-65.4 %-62.2 %-43.8 %-85.9 %-69.1 %-42.5 %-58.4 %
28/02/2015 00Z-32.2 %+16.5 %-18.9 %-58.2 %-21 %-34.5 %-41.1 %
27/02/2015 18Z+31.4 %-76.4 %+69.9 %-42.5 %+25.8 %+52.2 %+20 %
27/02/2015 12Z+42.5 %-46.1 %-9.4 %+58.3 %+50 %-13.3 %-14.6 %
27/02/2015 06Z+23.6 %-26.5 %+16.1 %-44.2 %-6.2 %+19.1 %+10.4 %
27/02/2015 00Z-30.4 %-43.1 %-39.5 %-50.5 %-46.1 %-21 %-44.9 %
26/02/2015 18Z-2.8 %+43.5 %+59.5 %-10.1 %-15.9 %+50.3 %+7.3 %
26/02/2015 12Z+48.1 %-52.1 %+44.6 %-30.5 %+29.1 %+72.4 %+15.2 %
26/02/2015 06Z-40.5 %-71.5 %-29.2 %-58.2 %-59.9 %-18.1 %-35.5 %
26/02/2015 00Z-10.7 %+43.6 %+26.4 %-30.6 %-27.9 %+16.3 %+10.2 %
25/02/2015 18Z+13.2 %+70.7 %+77.2 %+15.3 %-20.1 %+44.4 %-1.9 %
25/02/2015 12Z+43.2 %+66.3 %+56.3 %+11.5 %+41.4 %+60 %+37 %
25/02/2015 06Z-36.4 %-70.1 %-50.2 %-42.7 %-48.4 %-31.4 %-54.7 %
25/02/2015 00Z-8.4 %+8.8 %-11 %-27.4 %-50.9 %-0.4 %-39 %
24/02/2015 18Z-50.9 %-86.5 %-71.7 %-79.1 %-76.7 %-74.3 %-67.8 %
24/02/2015 12Z-56 %-94.5 %-60.3 %-83.1 %-63.4 %-67.3 %-39.3 %
24/02/2015 06Z-33.1 %-82.3 %-28.4 %-76.4 %-23.6 %-0.7 %-18.4 %
24/02/2015 00Z-45.1 %-59.3 %-50.7 %-80.6 %-21.3 %-33.8 %-44.5 %
23/02/2015 18Z-25.5 %-36.2 %-44.2 %-49 %-39.7 %+13.3 %-2.5 %
23/02/2015 12Z+17.5 %-57 %-5.9 %-35.5 %+26 %-28.9 %+10.6 %
23/02/2015 06Z+55.2 %-52.1 %+121.6 %-1.1 %+6.4 %+32.6 %-28.6 %
23/02/2015 00Z+15.7 %+22 %-28 %-13.8 %+27.4 %-22.7 %-22.7 %
22/02/2015 18Z+27.7 %-86.4 %+56.3 %-12 %+0 %+37.4 %+6.4 %
22/02/2015 12Z-41.3 %+51.3 %+0.5 %-38.3 %-31.8 %+8.8 %-18.4 %
22/02/2015 06Z-53.8 %+44.6 %-61.8 %-50.8 %-64 %-46.5 %-45.7 %
22/02/2015 00Z-40.9 %+161.1 %-15.9 %-57.5 %-33.1 %+26.1 %-16.5 %
21/02/2015 18Z-19.8 %-92 %-26.4 %-52.4 %-23.4 %-37.3 %-34.7 %
21/02/2015 12Z+171.8 %-13.7 %+195 %+80.3 %+127.9 %+162.9 %+79.8 %
Moyenne-2.7 %-19.8 %+10.1 %-33.2 %-14.1 %+9 %-13.8 %

Anomalie de pression

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
28/02/2015 18Z+6.7 hPa+6.7 hPa+5.2 hPa+6.4 hPa+7 hPa+6 hPa+6.7 hPa
28/02/2015 12Z-5.6 hPa-4 hPa-5.6 hPa-6.5 hPa-5.1 hPa-5.3 hPa-5.2 hPa
28/02/2015 06Z+9.6 hPa+8.2 hPa+5.2 hPa+8.3 hPa+11.2 hPa+7.6 hPa+9.6 hPa
28/02/2015 00Z+6.5 hPa+5.1 hPa+4.5 hPa+5.5 hPa+7.1 hPa+5.4 hPa+6.8 hPa
27/02/2015 18Z+4.9 hPa+4.4 hPa+5.7 hPa+6.3 hPa+4.9 hPa+4.4 hPa+4.2 hPa
27/02/2015 12Z+2.9 hPa+3 hPa+1 hPa+2.6 hPa+4 hPa+2.3 hPa+3.1 hPa
27/02/2015 06Z+3.7 hPa+3 hPa+4.5 hPa+4.8 hPa+3.1 hPa+3.9 hPa+3.5 hPa
27/02/2015 00Z+6.5 hPa+8.1 hPa+4.4 hPa+4.8 hPa+7.1 hPa+6.8 hPa+7.4 hPa
26/02/2015 18Z+3 hPa+1.8 hPa+1.6 hPa+2.5 hPa+4 hPa+1.8 hPa+3 hPa
26/02/2015 12Z+3.8 hPa+1.4 hPa+4.1 hPa+6.2 hPa+3.8 hPa+2.6 hPa+2.5 hPa
26/02/2015 06Z+6.8 hPa+6.7 hPa+4.5 hPa+5.9 hPa+7.4 hPa+6.1 hPa+6.5 hPa
26/02/2015 00Z+1.3 hPa+0.4 hPa-1.6 hPa-0.4 hPa+2.3 hPa+0.6 hPa+1.7 hPa
25/02/2015 18Z-1014.6 hPa-1013.7 hPa-1016.2 hPa-1014.8 hPa-1013.6 hPa-1015.6 hPa-1015 hPa
25/02/2015 12Z-2.6 hPa-1.6 hPa-1.1 hPa-1.3 hPa-3.3 hPa-1.4 hPa-2.7 hPa
25/02/2015 06Z+7.1 hPa+7.2 hPa+4.8 hPa+5.8 hPa+7.8 hPa+7 hPa+7.7 hPa
25/02/2015 00Z+1.4 hPa+1.7 hPa-1.4 hPa+0.3 hPa+2.3 hPa+0.4 hPa+1.4 hPa
24/02/2015 18Z+9.9 hPa+9.8 hPa+5.2 hPa+7.4 hPa+11.6 hPa+8.7 hPa+10.7 hPa
24/02/2015 12Z+10.5 hPa+8.3 hPa+8.3 hPa+11 hPa+10.8 hPa+9 hPa+9.6 hPa
24/02/2015 06Z+7.2 hPa+7.7 hPa+6.7 hPa+7.1 hPa+6.9 hPa+7.6 hPa+7.2 hPa
24/02/2015 00Z+6.5 hPa+7.1 hPa+4.9 hPa+5.9 hPa+6.4 hPa+6.5 hPa+6.9 hPa
23/02/2015 18Z+3.4 hPa+2.2 hPa+1.5 hPa+3.6 hPa+3.8 hPa+2.5 hPa+3.4 hPa
23/02/2015 12Z+3.3 hPa+4.1 hPa+3 hPa+2.5 hPa+3.3 hPa+4.1 hPa+3.8 hPa
23/02/2015 06Z-1.5 hPa-0.4 hPa-0.8 hPa-0.6 hPa-1.7 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.1 hPa
23/02/2015 00Z+1.2 hPa+1.7 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.9 hPa+1.5 hPa+1.8 hPa
22/02/2015 18Z+2.7 hPa+1.7 hPa+4.2 hPa+3.7 hPa+1.9 hPa+2.9 hPa+2.3 hPa
22/02/2015 12Z+3.9 hPa+5 hPa+3.4 hPa+2.8 hPa+3.8 hPa+4.2 hPa+4.9 hPa
22/02/2015 06Z+7.9 hPa+6.3 hPa+4 hPa+6 hPa+9.6 hPa+6.3 hPa+8.3 hPa
22/02/2015 00Z+1.4 hPa-1.7 hPa-1.1 hPa+2.9 hPa+2.9 hPa-1.4 hPa+0.2 hPa
21/02/2015 18Z+5.1 hPa+7.5 hPa+4.1 hPa+3.9 hPa+4.7 hPa+6.1 hPa+5.8 hPa
21/02/2015 12Z-6.5 hPa-0.3 hPa-2.3 hPa-6 hPa-8.2 hPa-2.3 hPa-5.1 hPa
Moyenne-30.1 hPa-30.1 hPa-31.3 hPa-30.4 hPa-29.8 hPa-30.4 hPa-30 hPa

Cartes d'anomalie pour le dernier run de CFS

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Prcisions
Les calculs d'anomalies sont raliss partir des donnes de la priode 1982-2010. Le modle Coupled Forecast System (CFSv2) est donc un modle saisonnier qui est lanc une 4 tous les jours avec les donnes de ranalyse du NCEP. Les runs ont environ 1 jour de retard puisque le temps de calcul du modèle est très long.

 

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